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OceanStWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. OceanStWx
    I think even the models that had 4:1 ratios had way too much QPF. So the end result was still a lot of snow. Couple that with DGZ sitting around 500 mb near the coast and that’s a disaster for big snow. Just west of that though, sweet spot.
  2. OceanStWx
    Well I lost power at home, and I can't imagine it was from more than 2" of snow. So all in all I'm not happy at the moment.
  3. OceanStWx
    We stop getting data sent to us via satellite when our dish gets caked too.
  4. OceanStWx
    I'm not sure I can think of a time I've seen it that dramatic during a winter storm. Most of the examples I can think of come from our radar training.
  5. OceanStWx
    Yeah, you are all looking for excuses for why this event is underwhelming and the radar was a convenient out. It's just crappy snow rates, the radar dropping out some Z isn't a sign of anything in particular.
  6. OceanStWx
    The wedge of high ZDR is definitely all on the N/NNW side of the display.
  7. OceanStWx
    Well the radar image is an artifact, but that doesn't mean the snow rates aren't letting up also. As has been the case much of the day, unless it's heavy precipitation overhead it's going to struggle to maintain a steady snow.
  8. OceanStWx
    A big part of our job is figuring out WTF is happening, and diagnosing it quickly enough to shit or get off the pot.
  9. OceanStWx
    Yes, essentially the radar is putting out full power but some is immediately taken away by the rain/snow on the dome. So when the returns from Metrowest make it back to the radar, it seems as if there was way less power returned than was sent out and the radar thinks there isn't any moderate to heavy precip there. How quickly that Z dropped out was a red flag for me. Doesn't usually happen in minutes.
  10. OceanStWx
    Wind is NNW, so probably caking any snow onto that side of the dome.
  11. OceanStWx
    I think we're looking at beam attenuation due to a wet radome. The ZDR is spiked for no good reason in that zone, and that will hurt other products.
  12. OceanStWx
    This observed snowfall map is going be a piece of work.
  13. OceanStWx
    "Friend"
  14. OceanStWx
    N/NE winds just do so well. You can advect cooler air from the N to steepen those low level lapse rates and more efficiently mix.
  15. OceanStWx
    Disastah
  16. OceanStWx
    It's not not a supercell.
  17. OceanStWx
    Took our first power hit just a few minutes ago.
  18. OceanStWx
    Trying to interpret this CC loop, as the low values become uniformly high over the Gulf of Maine again. I'm thinking it's a sharpening rain/snow line becoming more upright over time. So the radar beam shoots through it quicker.
  19. OceanStWx
    We definitely still have time. I think the surprise here is just how much of this is being driven by precip rates, so we're getting very little accumulation outside of the main band. It's actually hurting me not to be in the grids on this event though. This always felt like a 8-14" to me, but I definitely had an eye on spot 20 potential. I still think 8-14" could play but may be a lot narrower than originally thought.
  20. OceanStWx
    36 on 95 and 34 out by the mall.
  21. OceanStWx
    If I had to guess, I would say the NH jackpot is going to be east of you. But you should do well regardless.
  22. OceanStWx
    The higher res stuff had a window between like now and 03z for the best rates locally.
  23. OceanStWx
    It's about to get a whole lot more consistent. That WCB is ready to slam into the mid level front.
  24. OceanStWx
    MHT pulled off 0.05 in their 15 minutes between top of the hour and SPECI, so similar in S NH.
  25. OceanStWx
    1"/hr stuff outside right now and definitely sticking to the road (despite the warm ground cc: Scooter).
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