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OrangeCTWX

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Everything posted by OrangeCTWX

  1. OrangeCTWX
    RGEM looks similar to the NAM.
  2. OrangeCTWX
    Could see totals even higher than what’s showing up on the EURO weenie map if that happened. But many more solutions to go before we can lock this in.
  3. OrangeCTWX
    Seems like prior runs were quick to shove it east though once it hit the block to the north. What’s stopping it from sprinting east on this run?
  4. OrangeCTWX
    Really just depends on how far north it goes before it gets pushed east by the high. The stronger the storm the more tucked/north it goes. This euro run verbatim would be great for all of SNE. It also appears to turn this into a 24 hour event, almost stalling between 6z-12z.
  5. OrangeCTWX
    That’s seems like a pretty big difference vs prior runs. Especially compared to the gfs.
  6. OrangeCTWX
    Wait did it pretty much just stall between 6z-12z?
  7. OrangeCTWX
    Wish this was the euro of old where we could just lock it up and celebrate, but that’s a good run for sure.
  8. OrangeCTWX
    NAM actually is coming more north/stronger with the Monday system. Looks pretty good for portions of SNE.
  9. OrangeCTWX
    3k looks like it will come north too.
  10. OrangeCTWX
    Do we have to grant it a pardon if it ends up betraying us?
  11. OrangeCTWX
    Maine is pretty much Canada when it comes right down to it lol
  12. OrangeCTWX
    I said 6+ , hoping that’s on the conservative side.
  13. OrangeCTWX
    Can live with the tuck as long as it starts going East by the time it reaches south Jersey. Any farther north and it starts becoming a problem.
  14. OrangeCTWX
    From the MA board:
  15. OrangeCTWX
    GEFS look more SE than the OP for sure.
  16. OrangeCTWX
    So maybe a compromise between the euro and the gfs could come to fruition?
  17. OrangeCTWX
    That is way too close for comfort. Hopefully the ensembles don’t support that.
  18. OrangeCTWX
    Weenie map still shows over a foot of snow for SW CT and the south coast, but yes not as friendly for those farther north. Plenty of time to iron out the details of this though.
  19. OrangeCTWX
    Odd there is a low off of Florida too.
  20. OrangeCTWX
    Man I thought 6z would be the pinnacle with this storm, but 12z was even better. Ok now it’s no where but downhill from here...
  21. OrangeCTWX
    Any difference with accuracy between the 12 k and 3 k NAM?
  22. OrangeCTWX
    Damn you didn’t have to do me like that. LOL. Some solid storms there.
  23. OrangeCTWX
    No. It use to have a noticeable SE bias, so for example if it was SE of the benchmark that probably meant that the storm was going to track on the benchmark. But I thought someone mentioned that it does even have that bias anymore? It’s just a bad model.
  24. OrangeCTWX
    Icon thermals are terrible. I mean the model doesn’t even show mixing. But it does look much better for Wednesday, perhaps it is finally realizing the cad signature.
  25. OrangeCTWX
    Milford ct since 2016. Fairfield prior to that, except Hamden for a few years (college) . Was in Hamden for 2010-2011, probably my favorite winter of all time. Anyways back on topic..
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