Weaker blocking,more energy lagging behind developing 50/50, ridging in PNA as opposed to SE, kicker on the heels of the NW energy feature. Also more connection between the 50/50 lag energy and the energy coming thru the WC
We need that to get beat down so a followup can come along and do its thing.
Eta: but with that said, we DONT want a March 1993 storm over the Plains resetting the entire hemispheric pattern either.
100% agree. And @psuhoffman has been all over it not being the first wave/threat that produces. He may be frustrating with the journal thing but when he gives his ideas I tend to listen to him.
As much as people are denying, the SER base state is a real thing. I keep hearing that isn't a ridge in the SE at 120 hrs it's just a response to the digging sw out west......which is a ridge....in the Southeast. It isnt going anywhere, yet.