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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. I don't think this is all that horrible. Thumb ridge above Alaska with CPF coming around the back of the TPV near Baffin, pos height anomalies in nao domain, some SER to stop systems from sliding off the SE coast. That is a cold look with nowhere for stj moisture to come but N. Alright PSU, permission to 'roast' me
  2. Damn this forum is manic depressive asf. I mean zero disrespect to anyone who suffers from bipolar disorder but g'damn....the cold is coming, the cold is not coming, the pattern is building, the pattern is collapsing, the LR is loaded, the LR is putrid. Ffs ppl
  3. Still a few discrete threats in first 10 days of Jan....both very marginal for now but at least it isn't a complete shutout pattern.
  4. I think this is what we want....not some sharp trough aimed at the SE. A central us centered broad trof will work...just need to time waves correctly.
  5. Exactly. It's too funny how some folks are already out beyond mid month analyzing the back end (possibly?) of the better pattern while there are legit threats to track in the MR and LR. To the proud few here....don't ever change.
  6. That's actually a really nice west based -nao signal there for a smoothed means.
  7. Take what he considers "game over" with a grain of salt. He is hunting the epic winter and hecs mostly iirc.
  8. Ahh, those were the good old days....when we at least had cold air to track. Gone but not forgotten.
  9. Not sure....but I think most here know where the hot air is.
  10. I fully expect to see this smeared all over FB and X within the coming days and layperson panic ensuing.
  11. Also wanted to note nice +PNA popping at the same time:
  12. I noticed that as well. Decent interaction with NS/part of the TPV with decent timing location. There have certainly been hints of this but this run has been best with this feature thus far.
  13. Murphys Law says we waste the stj now and turn cold/dry during prime climo. I'm hopefully optimistic for a 2nd half of winter type salvage, but damn it sucks wasting all this precip right now.
  14. Bro, lower your expectations. Epic winter are rare for a reason.
  15. This!! Majority of pro forecasters here and elsewhere have repeated ad nauseum that the expectation this was always IF we are going to see a legit wintry deep pattern that would not happen until 2nd or 3rd week of January thru late Feb. It's hard to believe but it is possible still. I ha e very minimal accums up here but I'm not far west of the fall line and have seen flakes 5 times already. So yes. It CAN snow still. And yes. It WILL snow again. Patience.
  16. Didn't see this before posting my ssw comment. Well said....exactly.
  17. Low expectations should be the mindset going into every winter tbh. Ppl set themselves up for a letdown assuming things like Nino=snowstorms or Nina=sustained cold etc.
  18. Too much emphasis on requiring a SSW to have a productive pattern. We've had these events a few times in recent years and the net result was nil for impacts in our regions.
  19. Someone needs to remind folks in other subs that these phases are cyclical and not the end times for snowfall. While I believe in that elephant in the room that shall not be mentioned, I dont believe that is the lone cause of tough luck we have had since we 2016 (2014 tbh). There will eventually be a run of snowy years like we have seen in our lifetimes already. You know what I say....buckle up and have patience.
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