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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Didn't last season feature cold in the NW specifically and a -PNA with a trof that kept settling in the W and SW also? Maybe this is all still Nina lag stuff that some red taggers have mentioned and once it's gone it's game on? Or maybe we are nearing time for another 684726485 word diatribe from PSU....I dunno at this point tbh. Hopeful we still get a typical Nino run of stormy winter even if only 5-10 days.
  2. 3-5" up your way some 7" lollis. That seems pretty positive
  3. I agree on all points. I posted the same in another subforum here. Cold overwhelms pattern, we turn dry and cold, southeast/southern MA get a MECS,...then we get our 1 and done 'chance' at a typical Nino winter storm as pattern relaxes. I haven't given up on exceeding last years totals but I have discarded any hope of a sustained wintry stormy and cold pattern.
  4. The catch phrases du jour in the main thread will be: -degraded -rolled forward could produce -weaker signal -february
  5. I actually preferred the shut-the-blinds pattern tbh. At least we werent wasting our time chasing our tails. This is becoming yet another one of those seasons where MR/LR offer teases which fall apart as lead times shorten.
  6. Other mesos coming in warmer. Track keeps nudging N as well.
  7. Typical bias at this range. Corrects at 12z tomorrow. Don't trust the NAM until under 30hrs.
  8. 39F and a graupel squall at Telford....I kid you not!
  9. Next one is 99.8% rain. 3 flakes at the start.
  10. So wait VA went from an historic snow event to an ice storm in 36 hours? Honest question, haven't been following that area.
  11. Pattern looks sweet. Models look sweet. Ens look sweet. But will it produce? My gut wag on this? Cold arrives and overwhelms the pattern = cold/dry....pattern relaxes late month and we get our typical 1 Nino shot at a big storm.
  12. Looks like that warm sector really punches N now on latest runs. Expecting maybe a slushy inch or 2 here in Warminster. Philly, Baltimore, And NYC should be able to keep their <1" snow days going at least another week. No letup in sight and the weeklies keep can kicking til late Jan and Feb now.
  13. So are the rumors true? We are now looking past MLK day for the favorable pattern?
  14. Ok, so if we see graupel we eat scrapple. If we see mostly rain we eat a wild goose. In any event @hazwoper has made the appearance so I will grab a whopper tomorrow in his name.
  15. I mean, if things adjust about 25 miles se it's game on for everyone. That isn't alot to ask 3 days out. What worries me isn't track as much as the thermals are torching tho.
  16. Damn 24 hrs and still snowing on gfs haven't seen cmc yet
  17. GFS is a beatdown...perfect ull pass keeps us snowing almost 18 hrs into Sunday evening lol
  18. Looks like a trof to me, just smoothed over. Granted there aren't pretty Penn State blue colors there, but that look is far from troublesome imho.
  19. 0z ICON was an improvement wrt track, strength,and confluence. Nice hit for most of E and SE PA
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