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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Not sure it matters but a few times this season we've counted on a 50/50 look at range to help compress the flow and anchor in some relative cold and it either came in much weaker and sheared at game time or zipped on thru the 50/50 domain. So that feature has in fact been a thorn in our side already. Again, not sure what we can glean from past events, just noting it.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    Yer gonna need a bigger boat
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    "Roll away the dew" - Jerry Garcia
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    Yep, very reminiscent of a recent system, oh, say 3 days ago.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Dumb ways to fail.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Gonna take some work, but I think if we persevere we can all do this
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    GEFS took a move towards more coastal lows. Not quite where the eps is but a notable increase from 0z.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    0z Euro is a MECS for 16th. EPS was also honking for the same time. CMC was close but couldn't figure out which energy to focus on. 6z GFS was a SECS. Euro had the cities on the line. Usual caveats apply at this range...7 days out. Time to track
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Not sure WW even realizes it but that EPS 6hr precip and 850 map from 0z was absolutely screaming for a smoothed over blend of indiv ens. Talk about a jump. 6z gfs took a big step as well. Awaiting the gefs. Time to track...again. let's ride.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    We shit the blinds for 7 days as we reload and regroup. Plenty of time still and no shortage of chances.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Imma have to try that one. My one and only experience with Flying Dog was Raging Bitch. Way too aggressive flavoring for me and I'm generally a fan of all thing Belgian. But this one was not my cup of tea.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Wasn't a bad run. I don't think anyone is expecting a huge hit or this to trend into anything too intense with the 15th-16th thing. Maybe I'm wrong but I think the upside is somewhat capped with this one. However, I'm certain many would be OK with a ground whitener followed by BN cold.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    -30s leeside of the Rockies in the central US. Damn.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Daffodils are really coming along nicely. Should have buds by early Feb at this rate
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Brooklyn Brewery Black Chocolate Russian Imperial Stout
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    If there is any concern to that look, it would possibly be cold/dry. But I dont mind this tbh...a little sacrifice for long term chance(s) maybe as I could see having deep cold entrenched/established and the pattern relaxing with a decent storm threat at some point. This is pure conjecture at this point but worth noting that aspect.
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Is that a +PNA? That is almost near the textbook mean longitudinal axis point around Idaho. Yeah, potentials lie ahead.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    No shortage of activity at the very least. And while most here are interested in our own yards, the next 2 systems in the upper midwest will be amazing to see unfold from a sheer meteo standpoint. Some spots will get to witness true blizzard conditions within days of each other. So while we may not be tracking anything discrete here attm we can try and enjoy watching what this Nino is throwing at pasts of the US. That should give hope moving forward.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Can't even hit 60F this winter to setup a Wiggum Rule event. What gives?
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Those bombs should help the East moving forward at least for a bit. Need a strong catalyst to beat down the persistent Atlantic crud. These should theoretically do the trick.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    The NAO ridge definitely undergoes some pulses the next few weeks as @CAPE noted following this window as the TPV takes up residence. I think it was @Bob Chill who alluded to this pulsing aspect headed into the 2nd half. But the trend to strengthen the block just prior to the 16th before waning is a welcome trend.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Wifey suggests taking my winnings from the last 5 Eagles games and just watch this one. She's usually pretty good at feeling how these play out. Says it's going to be fugly. It looks like a rainer to boot? Tampa stadium doesn't have a roof, correct?
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Agreed. One trend over the major ens means past 4 - 6 runs is the strengthening of the block / ridging in the NAO domain. That is certainly something we want to see trend this way and not a weaker HL look.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    We need this one. Every single member here deserves this one. Make it happen captain.
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