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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Sad part is, the forecast 'cold stretch' is run of the mill cold now and moves out as fast as it moves in.
  2. It's fine....everything is fine. The upcoming pattern is the KU look....I read it here. If not that one then the one after is it. The cutters will pave the wave....pattern progression. Patience. Buckle up. Fuck, give me more of those good meds ffs...
  3. Do you think? They are in complete dissaray. AJ Brown deleted everything Eagles from his IG yesterday. Looks like he wants off the team now. What makes you think they are going to show and compete? Are they just playing opossum??
  4. Cold snap fizzled too. Avg temps to slightly below. Winter blows anymore. Need to find a Flux capacitor asap.
  5. How are we looking wrt the textbook KU upper air pattern the ens means had for late week? Still showing the same thing?
  6. If that threat period fails and nothing discrete is showing in the MR at that time and the LR is in a 'relax'? Well,...it might be time.
  7. Would a radio show reverse jinx it? Is that possible? We should be open to anything and everything at this juncture.
  8. Who had 'squall line as the top snow event for the week'? Wasn't on my bingo card.
  9. Gut looks to be right. Never bet against the gut, blech
  10. I hope I'm wrong, I do. But believe me...when Doctor No shuts the door it is emphatic. There's always more room .
  11. PSU has been silent. We all know what's going on here....brace for it later
  12. ICON heights backing more out ahead of storm. Doubt this ends like the euro.
  13. " The 12Z and now the 00Z ECMWF deterministic runs are more offshore where hardly any precipitation is onshore of the East Coast. This seems unlikely based on other guidance and the EC ensemble mean and members, but unfortunately the ECMWF-initialized machine learning models did not seem to run for the 12Z cycle, so we lack that piece of information that could help with the model diagnostics."
  14. Pretty sure I read an AFD posted here earlier that stated the Euro didn't have data ingested and that would resume with the 12z run today?
  15. 0z-12z Sat will really hone in. I think the Euro caves by 0z but I wouldn't be surprised to see it still squashed at 12z today.
  16. 6z GFS has @Albedoman's clipper swinging thru the midwest finally at 384hr. He says the clipper is what will finally usher in winter for us by the 3rd week of January as per his years of experience. We shall see....the clipper may end up actually being the end of our run instead of the start ironically.
  17. I dont think it happens, though it's not like we haven't seen it before....but if the Euro scores the win and shafts us and the mid atl I may just quit this hobby. This scenario is precisely how Dr No earned its name. I pray to the heavens, please, not this time lol. Honestly, pattern argues against the Euro and I'm betting against it, but we wait and see. I like where we're at right now.
  18. Don't forget the stronger west based - nao and slightly better +pna ridge axis. What's not to like? (Psu please dont answer that wasn't meant for you )
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