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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    How is Georgetown faring?
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    Folks....
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    You know as well as I do, the big storm will be the one to trend the wrong way. Murphys Law.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Lightest moderate snow ever here in Ivyland. 3/4 inch and 26F.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    I remember this. I lived in Delco at the time as was in the line and had 9" total snow. Amazing luck that night!
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    I know you shouldn't be using a global model in situations like this where hi res is preferred.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Yep. Area of subsidence is to be expected each side of the death band. That's why I loathe these setups. Clearly someone will be angry at the NWS when they get an inch or so and they 'were told 4-6"'. Wish there were a better way to make the general public wary of these IVT setups.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    WWAs and WSWs flying. Sitting at 31f in Ivyland.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Don't sleep
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Exactly. This does not have much moisture with it at all. And if we are counting on ratios to save us, remember it will be near 30, we aren't talking teens. 12:1 imo.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Because it isn't widespread and those totals probably won't verify on the high end (6-8"), but we'll see.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    A few buddies refer to me as 'weatherman'. With that said was just on a group call and they asked what to expect. So I said exactly as above, "really a general 1-3" but could be a 3-5" strip where the Norlun band sets up". The responses I got reminded me how much a weather nerd I really am.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Exactly. This is a general 1-3" type of setup. The higher 3-5" stuff will be wherever the banding sets up. Could n or s of the city still. We just can't know.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Bigger bust potential imho is coming in under the 4-6" for SE PA, not above that. Like ice said, we enjoy. Might be the last for a little while. Kids have a damn virtual day tomorrow. Most of us here were lucky to have a actuual snow days when we were young.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    A page back
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Fox29 seems a bit aggressive too. Hope these latest mesos s shifts/drier are just the windshield wiper effect and not reality.
  18. Ralph Wiggum
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Something to watch later next week during the 'relax' pattern as it starts to transition. Several ops and ens members have been hinting at a well-time HP moving along the NE with good placement as moisture runs up from the South. Would take a good bit of things to go right, but since guidance had been hinting figured it was worth mentioning at least. Here's the GFS depiction:
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Hrrr is 4-7" 3k targets Baltimore and pts south of the Mason Dixon Fv3 is a non event 12k is 1-3" Pick your poison. I choose a #1 with cheese....whopper time!
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Take
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    I posted something similar in another thread without being quite as blunt about it, but was told it is a workable pattern and would just take some unconventional methods to work. Feb 15th - 26th is where we have our next legit shot after the light system Friday. Then lights out after that.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    "Guys", "folks", or "next'?
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Pretty much....at least to start out. As Chill noted, we probably dont shut off the stj but it gets shunted S and we wait for the relax or some renegade NS system. Better than a shit the blinds look, that's for sure.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Yeah, a bunch of afds from regional stations were saying this was either a dc-philly target or a philly-nyc target, so either solution has us getting something. We are a snow town after all
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