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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    I agree with this. Setup morphed entirely over the past 36 hrs. Went from suppressed fears and no NS to full phase and amping up. I do think many here are in a very very good spot attm.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    we just got nuked on the 18z euro. Full clean phase. 12-16" se pa
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    @Ji are you following your rule and going with the least snowy model, ie the gfs? Or does that not apply with this system?
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Completely agreed. Probably wont end up a HECS, that would be mega rare in a Nina. But a MECS is clearly on the table and I dont think a single one of us would have scoffed at this potential going into a Nina winter. I always say keep expectations low.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    Wow ...thats a jump if we r being honest. Where do I sign?
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    Euro is a major hit. GFS is shit
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Paul showing qpf, im talking actual surface low position was N
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Euro AI held course, even crept N a hair with the slp.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    26 years to the day of Jan 25, 2000 Ninja'd by double d
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Good spot to be on an ens mean at this lead! VA can have their jackpot, Im quite fine sitting at a half foot on a mean.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    ^^^This But hell, even the mis-timed CMC we still manage a foot+ region wide. There is ample wiggle room on either side.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    And we still have amped models that have the sleet line to us. Im not too concerned tbh
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Fwiw, the tree guy is here right now with the chipper, I kid you not. Should I dive in head-first or feet-first?
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Superstitious are ya? oh ye of little faith
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    It is, and maybe just noise, but there were big enough differences under the hood to make me raise an eyebrow.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    CMC also took a 150 mile jump South with the surface low off of SC. Still throws good moisture our way, better than GFS. But a notable increase in confluence and strength of HP to our North this run.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Well, if the storm gets derailed over the next day or so, I will close mine and we can start fresh with a new thread and good mojo
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    There are still suppressed looks, so we do have some wiggle room i suppose.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    AI gfs last 4 runs:
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    ^^ It has my 29th system tho
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Ai GFS missed everyone North of the PA/MD border. Hardly any precip makes it into PA on this model. Can't make this stuff up.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    Same
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Oh, hey there. Fuck. Bullseye 5 days out. Kiss of death.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    ICON was a relative 'quick' hitter, about 18 hrs in duration (1PM Sunday->7AM Monday). Had all the key features presented. Just a little sloppy with the phase and subtle timing differences/noise. Not a concern, still looks like a beatdown.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Someone needs to change the date on the thread title. This is morphing into a delayed but not denied system. 25-26. Could even extend to 27th.
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