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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Arctic squall line with thunder and rain turning to snow for 5 minutes then flash freeze? We take?
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    Atmospheric memory?
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    ICON looks much like yesterday's system at this range tbh. Fropa with a wave along it. Pumps ser ahead of the system and drives primary into Lake Superior. Next up, the CMC and GFS Eta: one fail option...avocado mucks things up
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    ICON being the ICON....send this thing back to Germany for a tuneup
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    Feb 83 vibes with the dual low structure
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    That wind was pretty fierce!
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    A little sloppy and disjointed vs the same map from 12z yesterday, but this look is close to producing...very close:
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Fixed. Was as simple as clearing keyboard cache/data, adjusting a few settings (predictive text,etc),and rebooting the phone. Not that anyone cares, just figured I would post for anyone else having issues.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    I still stand by the Dec 22-27 producing at least 1 widespread wintry event for our respective regions. I see zero reason to deviate from this. If we fail, we move on....heads down and mentally exhausted from tracking. But I don't think that happens based off of ens modeling.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    50 Shades of HL Blocking?
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Just to add to the map I posted above....looks like a reload as the SCAN ridging is building and wants to feed the NAO.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Going with the GEFS for now as it has been outperforming in the LR. I wouldn't say this is a bad look. And many know this but during prime climo we don't need/want a raging epo ridge. The just less than perfect looks are the ones that produce it seems. As long as it isn't shut the blind we are in the game. Again, this isn't a bad look....not 100% perfect, but definitely not bad or PAC driven:
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    24 hours ago folks were thrilled a cutter option was waning. So, now we want the cutter idea back? I thought S and E was where we wanted it at this range?
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Are we going back to tracking avocados?
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    We played this game with a persistent WAR a few years back. Don't need a repeat of that season, please.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    You said you didn't see it? Hmm, haven't seen Ji around today yet. I wonder if he was stalking and you clipped him.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Testing testing this is only a test. By George I think I've fixed it
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Glad you're ok. Those things can do a number to vehicles and the folks inside. Like you said...in a flash.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    FYP
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Different breed up here in PA....people, not the deer. Hit a deer and within minutes somebody is scraping it off the road and stocking their freezer.
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS decides to go with lighter stuff up here Friday but adds a weak system on Sunday with Norman Rockwell flakes and cold for Christmas Day. Going to see numerous more changes some good some bad. Buckle up.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    And euro. Instead of rags to riches we go from riches to rags at 0z. Im sure it isnt the last big shift on the models one way of the other either. I said we wouldnt hone in on actual clustering til Saturday night/Sunday.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Im just trying to keep my expectations in check. Been better at this since 2012. Are all the ingredients present for a potential MECS/HECS? Yes. Does that equate to a lock? Absolutely not. We do get these looks every once in a while. Some work out, most turn out to be SECS here due to timing/spacing issues. It still takes a perfect setup to get a perfect storm, lets not forget that. Lets just see how this one plays out.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    I respectfully disagree. There is still a fairly broad range of solutions that 95% of them whiten the ground whether that be a coating up to 34" on some individual ens members. Im not greedy when it comes to snow. Would love a HECS but I just want to get on the board for now tbh and a white ground for Christmas weekend is beyond just a win. If you are locked in for a MECS/HECS more power to ya. Just 18 hours ago you were telling us how this has almost zero potential.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Made a post elsewhere...this is becoming a potential where we whiten the ground even with a poorly timed setup like we are seeing. Im not going to say it cant fail, but almost every model has now shown solutions at h5 that look fail-ish yet it still snows on those progs. We are seeing a good bit of wiggle room. And as someone else mentioned we dont need a HECS. Im quite content with a ground whitener for the 24th-25th holiday anything more is an absolute bonus
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