Jump to content

Ralph Wiggum

Members
  • Posts

    16,100
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. I have strep and start of scarlet fever. Only thing I'm drinking is pedialyte
  2. It is a cross polar flow into the central US directed by the epo ridge which again is a good look. Damn, you guys are frustrating today. You have your take on post Jan 11 I have mine.
  3. As Ryan says and agrees with my thinking....2 weeks of threading the needle until we enter a more favorable PAC and HL look. Gotta get past this. If we get tomid Jan and we have kicked the can and nothing on the horizon then I will start to worry. I see no reason to cancel January at this point.
  4. Again, you r better. You r basing your "pattern is reloading to crap" based on temp anomalies? Seriously ? It's one thing to be pessimistic. Heck we just had record breaking AO and zero to show. But there is no way in hell you look at that 500mb ens mean and suggest it is crud or shut the blinds. Absolutely not. Again tho, let's hope it isn't a head fake and let's get past this relax stretch. Enjoy the weather, it is beautiful out.
  5. In lieu of time restraints I can't repost the disco of mine from the Mid Atl thread. You should take a look. Progressing exactly as most have been stating....as long as not a head fake of course. Not sure how you can look at this and say pattern is crap: CPF even evident. Cmon man, you're better.
  6. I don't think u r looking at recent GEFS. Haven't seen the eps they have been putrid anyway. Clear your cache.
  7. PAC help is on the way. Hopes for this not being a head fake. Not perfect but really workable. And we know by now PAC>ATL...though our side isnt horrible either. +heights up top progressing as they had in early Dec but now maybe some PAC help. We can only speculate and hope for now but much rather see this than blue up top and out west. Jet retraction and poleward shift ftw:
  8. Just to add, these 'workable' looks are far from epic, unicorn, textbook etc. I will take workable over epic perfection tbh. Unicorns are make believe.
  9. And a bit farther out,more poleward and a clear -height anomaly evident over the Aleutian chain with the split flow increasing.
  10. Agreed. The look on the gefs mean is certainly moving towards a very workable look. PAC jet poleward look and the split out west would definitely be a welcome change. And you know we dont need bn temps once we get to this range for things to work in our favor. Optimistic. The progression on the means is fairly predictable on a hemispheric lw progression. Let's hope it isn't a head fake as we get past the first week of January.
  11. GFS op at range but after 300hrs shows what I feel is a viable progression towards a more workable pattern as we approach mid Jan. WAR and Scandinavian ridging feeds +height anomalies at HL. Mean trof nudges east and is replaced with neutral/pos PNA. PAC jet splits.
  12. If I ever go to WAR I will carry a needle as my weapon. Whoops, wrong needle. Just having some fun today with quiet times upon us for now. I'm done with the ot stuff.
  13. We've seen WAR help us before just last January iirc. But yeah, 9 out of 10 times what is it good for? Absolutely nothing. Say it again!
  14. I feel like we just tracked a similar setup just 2 weeks ago:
  15. Liking how guidance is moving the WAR and feeding a ridge up top of us. Let's thread this needle boys!
  16. CMC is similar but missing that antcedent cold. Could see a rain to snow type deal. All conjuncture tho at this point. Should watch it
  17. Tbh, this transitional period is right on schedule. Small thread the needle window as PAC transitions. Still optimistic we get to a good place by mid month. Eta: at least we are seeing beyond the closed blinds
×
×
  • Create New...