Ralph Wiggum

Didnt see the hrrr posted. Still snowing after this fwiw

12z gfs starting light up for the 27th event fwiw. Close call verbatim but close enough to watch

That guy on FB you linked isnt hurricane Schwartz BTW thats noreaster nick

Does anyone know if hurricane Schwartz still thinks this is basically a non-event west of i95 or did he finally cave?

Yeahhhh....I have the 1-3' line as i95 essentially. Im close to shifting that farther west. Wow.

Latest RAP shifted West and has the jackpot right over @The Iceman

Finally got the UKIE and its ens MOGREPS fully on board:

Appears guidance is converging on a solution now somewhere between the CMC and the GFS camps. Euro being the extreme eastern/least snowy outlier and the NAM being the extreme on the opposite side. Pretty much what @Newman and I have been talking about for a couple of days with Central DE to S NJ and shore points being the bullseye and points N and W still a MECS thru SE PA. If Im guessing right now at this hour, 'around a foot' seems a reasonable call imby in Warminster/Ivyland. My folks in Cape May otoh....1-2' easy.

BOOM! Upgraded to a warning. Second I shut my eyes the alert starts going off. Ha!

40" at ACY. Might need a casino run.

3k is settling me down. 50 miles west with the slp. Yeah, enough models for tonight. G'night

Which is ok farther N into NYC where u are as it gives time to recover, but its a tightrope down here west of i95. Still looks good for a plowable event here for now.

Looping last 3 runs at 48hrs on the 6z the slp is 100 miles farther east. Thats not an hallucination.

I saw, but leading to that point clearly is showing how fragile this is and how the euro could be getting a handle on the evolution. Maybe im wrong.