Ralph Wiggum

Dafuq is the NAM smoking? Frozen still happening Sunday AM now.

Seems aggressive most likely due to being a significant travel weekend. Better to be safe can always scale back.

I will gladly take my half foot of snow followed by .3" crust. Where do I sign?

NAM is colder and practically.all.snow eastern pa. ETA: im not buying it btw just passing it along. This one still feels like a thump to mix/taint....for now

Block not as strong and stays mainly east based rather than west based as once forecast.

The Jan one i remember it being 26 and just shy of moderate freezing rain for hours. Tree destruction everywhere

Because you have a wife and hes not on the receiving end

I call mix a taint, maybe thats an incorrect term?

Pretty certain this a snow to mix storm.....just need to see how long it snows on us before tainting

RGEM is a thump wall.

Snowing in Telford 33F. Eyeballing here .25"

So January cancel is uncancelled? Shocker.

I agree with this. Definitely not a clean flush hit, at least not appearing that way right now. Ironically, the gefs mean is colder and snowier with a mean snowfall totals of 5" here in central bucks.

Pretty notable shifts on the CMC past 4 runs:

Exactly. It is also important to watch where models track the redeveloping slp. AIGFS is off the VA/NC border. Thats pretty key. Eta: is a function of the nao and the hp strength so yeah, all interconnected here