Ralph Wiggum

Appears guidance is converging on a solution now somewhere between the CMC and the GFS camps. Euro being the extreme eastern/least snowy outlier and the NAM being the extreme on the opposite side. Pretty much what @Newman and I have been talking about for a couple of days with Central DE to S NJ and shore points being the bullseye and points N and W still a MECS thru SE PA. If Im guessing right now at this hour, 'around a foot' seems a reasonable call imby in Warminster/Ivyland. My folks in Cape May otoh....1-2' easy.

BOOM! Upgraded to a warning. Second I shut my eyes the alert starts going off. Ha!

40" at ACY. Might need a casino run.

3k is settling me down. 50 miles west with the slp. Yeah, enough models for tonight. G'night

Which is ok farther N into NYC where u are as it gives time to recover, but its a tightrope down here west of i95. Still looks good for a plowable event here for now.

Looping last 3 runs at 48hrs on the 6z the slp is 100 miles farther east. Thats not an hallucination.

I saw, but leading to that point clearly is showing how fragile this is and how the euro could be getting a handle on the evolution. Maybe im wrong.

Rather significant jump east. Misses the capture and tug west to keep it tucked, thus escapes east and grazes the shore. Lol, cant make this stuff up. I dont think this is just windshield wiper stuff either this is a different synoptic entirely.

6z NAM 12k will also be east and less snow. Avg event this run and back down to earth.

HRDPS jumped east and will be a scraper.

Another weenie gfs run. This doesnt appear to be the end just yet.

Some nonsense about telleconnections not being right for a big storm

How dafuq is Hurricane saying this will be a fast mover without major impact? Has the man lost his mojo or will he score the win here??

Seriously! Old red needs to find a way to nap on Sunday.