Ralph Wiggum

This was the middle of such a nice run of deep winter. What was it 2 straight solid weeks we didnt get above 30?

Just build a fog chiller for my fog machine (to keep the smoke dense and low). Setup the graveyard today outside. Just have to scatter some random bones around and Im good to run.

Phillies need a rain out tonight desperately....Luzardo and Wheeler both unavailable tonight but available tomorrow. Cmon rain...never needed you so badly!!

Time for a Whopper "value" meal. Thanks for the reminder @hazwoper

So last years Nina acted more like a Nino and so far this super Nino is acting like a Nina? Can't make this stuff up.

Euro Op doubles down...holy smokes! Thats worst case scenario for S NJ right there with the prolonged onshore flow, full moon, and system retrograding to the West.

New euro ai track is sandy-esque with that hard left turn...N part of NJ in a bad spot, S NJ would probably get the saving grace of an offshore wind component.

I wonder if the NAM is having it's mid-winter moment wrt putting the low center over the convection which is closer to the coast? Most likely overdone but who can say for sure. The 3k is scary if you loop it. That deep low is taking a hard left at the end and hurricane force winds arent far off the coast.

For perspective iirc 1962 was roughly 60-72 hrs of stall/wobble. We saw what those prolonged / sustained ENE winds did.

Im going to go ahead and say it....*IF* the Euro, and the NAM particularly have the right idea, this will be top 3 storm for NJ. 1 of course Sandy which most of us will never see again in our lifetimes, 2 being Ash Wednesday 1962. This could easily be #3. Just my wag attm based solely on NAM/Euro combo

Excuse me but....did S NJ just get NAM'd??

My gut says we get in on a fair amt of Southern overrunning events this season with AN precip. Majority of these end as rain but the few we end up on the cold side of the gradient will yield chances for classic overrunning thumps (6-10" types). In addition, I expect at least 2 classic Noreasters this winter, at the very least, with 1 potentially being a 'big dog'. Overall, expecting AN temps to go with those AN precip anomalies but we should have some chances to cash-in. Slightly below to near normal snowfall. Going to require quite a bit of.....patience

@Birds~69 how you holding up with the Cecily Tynan retirement?

Ivyland received 5.25" of rain in under 2 hours. The flooding around here was the worst ive seen since living here. Most branches of the Neshaminy well over their banks. Almshouse rd, Bristol rd, and Mearns roads among the worst in the area. Now we just need the cold