My worry with that is they're just weaker which isn't really great either. Not sure the op GFS would get it done with a weaker and more strung out system.
Yeah you can see that on the model 2m temps... there's definitely a bit of longitude assist there.
I think Litchfield Hills and Berkshires will do very well being a bit farther west plus some upslope assist/cooling.
I have a feeling the first event (or even first 2) could pretty easily be cutty or SWFE. With a bit of a SE ridge flex at least initially that seems like a decent bet.
Plenty of chances going forward post 12/10 or 12/12 as Will mentioned.