Yeah it can't go too crazy given the upper level setup. Not like we're getting a crazy bomb that's closing off at 500mb. It's sort of a SWFE with some redevelopment off the coast.
My worry with that is they're just weaker which isn't really great either. Not sure the op GFS would get it done with a weaker and more strung out system.
Yeah you can see that on the model 2m temps... there's definitely a bit of longitude assist there.
I think Litchfield Hills and Berkshires will do very well being a bit farther west plus some upslope assist/cooling.