yoda
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Everything posted by yoda
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Looks like it made a right turn... slight SE turn
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Weren't you saying a lil while ago that you had to much rain?
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Tiny meh MD from SPC for N VA for the small complex in NW VA moving E lol
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Looks like you got a STW
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MD out... 40% chance of a watch for far NW portions of the LWX CWA
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1630 SPC day 1 OTLK has shifted SLGT to just NW of the i81 corridor and MRGL to i95 corridor
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Day 2 MRGL risk for the region
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I'd say... wow
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Public Information Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 436 PM EDT Fri May 24 2019 ...NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 23 MAY 2019 HOWARD COUNTY TORNADO EVENT... Start Location...Clarksville in Howard County MD End Location...Columbia in Howard County MD Date...May 23 2019 Estimated Time...327 PM EDT Maximum EF-Scale Rating...EF1 Estimated Maximum Wind Speed...95 mph Maximum Path Width...150 yards Path Length...5.5 miles Beginning Lat/Lon...39.2072/-76.9451 Ending Lat/Lon...39.1790/-76.8484 * Fatalities...0 * Injuries...1 ...Summary... A line of showers and thunderstorms crossed the Blue Ridge Mountains around 2:30 PM 23 May 2019, then tapped into strong thermodynamics and wind shear, creating a Quasi-Linear Convective System (QLCS) that increased in intensity as it tracked southeast across central and southern Maryland, Washington DC, and northern Virginia. The QLCS spawned an EF1 tornado in Howard County MD between 3:27 PM EDT and 3:36 PM EDT, with a discontinuous damage path of 5.5 miles, moving east-southeast at an estimated 40 mph. This summary is based on a Storm Survey conducted Thursday evening by NWS Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office staff, and analysis from the WSR-88D KLWX radar, and the FAA Terminal Doppler Weather Radars (TDWR) for Dulles International Airport, Washington Reagan National Airport, and Joint Base Andrews. The FAA TDWR at Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport was out of service this day, thus it was not used in operations. The first evidence of tornadic damage was near the intersection of Brighton Dam Road and MD Route 108 in Clarksville. Several trees were uprooted in this vicinity with large branches pulled towards each other, and fell in multiple directions, except westerly. As the tornado moved east, more convergent tree damage extended on either side of Cedar Lane around Corina Court in Columbia. One eyewitness in this location who was interviewed saw the tornado knocking down trees, resulting in swirling debris. Most trees in this location were uprooted, but a few were snapped. Trees here were both softwood and hardwood. One tree fell into the roof of a house. Another resident in this area reported getting the wireless emergency alert on their phone, followed moments later by strong winds, which knocked down large trees. Tree damage was also noted along Shaker Drive between Seneca Farm Road and Wayover Way, where numerous large trees were uprooted, with a couple of trees snapped, falling to the north. The most significant damage noted was near the 9400 block of Patuxent Woods Drive, where a grove of hardwood and softwood trees were snapped about midway up their trunks, falling haphazardly. The roof of a nearby office building lost part of its roof, which blew towards the east. Trees were down further to the east, but it is likely that this was due to straight-line winds as radar analysis showed the tornado vortex broadening rapidly. There were other towns in Howard County in close proximity to the tornado that experienced significant wind damage, including Savage and Highland. However, from radar observations and conceptual models of tornadoes spawned by quasi-linear convective systems, it was determined that the wind damage in these locales were likely due to straight-line winds. Strong straight- line winds can produce damage equivalent to EF0 and EF1 tornadoes. The National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington Weather Forecast Office would like to thank the Howard County Office of Emergency Management for their assistance in the Storm Survey. EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the following categories: EF0...65 to 85 mph EF1...86 to 110 mph EF2...111 to 135 mph EF3...136 to 165 mph EF4...166 to 200 mph EF5...>200 mph * The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to change pending final review of the event and publication in NWS Storm Data. $$ Lee/Hofmann
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LWX is investigating the damage at the National Mall today and will report back about it later https://mobile.twitter.com/NWS_BaltWash/status/1131905902112649216
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STW NW Frederick county and NE Washington county until 11:15pm... hail to quarters and winds to 60mph
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@Kmlwx LWX seems to think Sunday could be another active day in their AFD if things come together
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If the Bedford supercell can hold together... HGR looks in line in about an hour
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01z HRRR has a random storm in Frederick county show up at 06z
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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 225 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 920 PM EDT Thu May 23 2019 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern Maryland Southern Pennsylvania Eastern West Virginia Panhandle * Effective this Thursday night from 920 PM until Midnight EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A pair of discrete supercells may persist southeast across southern Pennsylvania for the next couple hours, and spread into parts of Maryland before weakening.
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STWatch till midnight for Carroll/Allegheny/Washington/Frederick https://mobile.twitter.com/NWS_BaltWash/status/1131731264535375873?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^embeddedtimeline|twterm^profile%3ANWS_BaltWash|twgr^393039363b636f6e74726f6c|twcon^timelinechrome&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.weather.gov%2Flwx%2F
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72/68 at DCA at 9pm with pressure falling and winds still out of the south
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0100z SPC OTLK has SLGT risk across region still... 2/5/15
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Some pretty decent storms (supercells?) in PA moving SE... might be something to watch if they can hold together
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Looking at SPC mesoanalysis... looks like the air mass across the region has recovered somewhat... so wouldn't be surprised to see a few storms come out of PA into the LWX CWA in next few hours as the front moves through... maybe an isolated severe storm too
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@high risk Severe tstorm watch issued till midnight just to the west of the LWX CWA... Garrett county MD is included in that watch... guess none of those storms make it here if they develop and move east?
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Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 400 PM EDT Thu May 23 2019 DCC001-MDC003-009-017-031-033-VAC013-059-153-510-232015- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-190523T2015Z/ District of Columbia DC-Anne Arundel MD-Montgomery MD-Calvert MD- Prince Georges MD-Charles MD-Arlington VA-Fairfax VA- Prince William VA-City of Alexandria VA- 400 PM EDT Thu May 23 2019 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...SOUTH CENTRAL ANNE ARUNDEL... SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY...NORTHWESTERN CALVERT...PRINCE GEORGES... NORTHERN CHARLES...SOUTHEASTERN ARLINGTON...SOUTHEASTERN FAIRFAX... AND SOUTHEASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTIES AND THE CITY OF ALEXANDRIA... At 359 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from Lanham-Seabrook to Camp Springs to Montclair, moving east at 50 mph. These are very dangerous storms. HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. At 347 PM EDT, a wind gust to 68 mph was reported at Reagan National Airport. IMPACT...Expect considerable damage to trees and power lines. Your life is at significant risk if outdoors. In addition to some trees falling into homes, wind damage is possible to roofs, sheds, open garages, and mobile homes. Locations impacted include... Arlington, Alexandria, Waldorf, Dale City, Bowie, Clinton, Springfield, Fort Washington, Langley Park, Fort Hunt, Groveton, Forestville, Huntington, Largo, Coral Hills, Bladensburg, La Plata, Fort Belvoir, Shady Side and Chesapeake Beach. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the basement or small central room in a sturdy structure. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.
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Nice Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 352 PM EDT Thu May 23 2019 DCC001-MDC003-009-017-031-033-VAC013-059-153-510-610-232015- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-190523T2015Z/ District of Columbia DC-Anne Arundel MD-Montgomery MD-Calvert MD- Prince Georges MD-Charles MD-Arlington VA-City of Falls Church VA- Fairfax VA-Prince William VA-City of Alexandria VA- 352 PM EDT Thu May 23 2019 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT FOR THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...SOUTH CENTRAL ANNE ARUNDEL...SOUTH CENTRAL MONTGOMERY...NORTHWESTERN CALVERT...PRINCE GEORGES...NORTHERN CHARLES...ARLINGTON...EASTERN FAIRFAX...AND SOUTHEASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTIES...THE CITY OF FALLS CHURCH AND THE CITY OF ALEXANDRIA... At 350 PM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from College Park to Alexandria to near Montclair, moving east at 45 mph. These are very dangerous storms. HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Automated weather station. Reagan National Airport recorded a wind gust to 68 mph. IMPACT...Expect considerable damage to trees and power lines. Your life is at significant risk if outdoors. In addition to some trees falling into homes, wind damage is possible to roofs, sheds, open garages, and mobile homes. Locations impacted include... Arlington, Alexandria, Waldorf, Dale City, Bethesda, Bowie, Annandale, Clinton, Springfield, College Park, Fort Washington, Langley Park, Fort Hunt, Groveton, Forestville, Falls Church, Huntington, Largo, Coral Hills and Bladensburg. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the basement or small central room in a sturdy structure. This is an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION with tornado like wind speeds expected. Mobile homes and high profile vehicles are especially susceptible to winds of this magnitude and may be overturned. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. These storms have the potential to cause serious injury and significant property damage.
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DCA gusted to 68mph
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Not crap anymore, huh?
