yoda

Well shit... guess we're all fucked (no I didn't edit it at all... go read the afternoon AFD from LWX just issued and you'll see it yourself) Precipitation chances overspread the area overnight Thursday into Friday as model guidance indicates an area of low pressure developing and travelling up the east coast. With high temperatures forecast in the low to mid 300s for most (teens and 20s at higher elevations), any precipitation will be snow. We will continue to monitor this event as it gets closer in time. As the aforementioned upper level trough pivots out of the area, upper level ridging and high pressure at the surface build over the area. Upslope snow showers continue through Saturday afternoon along and west of the Alleghenies with dry conditions expected elsewhere through Sunday. Saturday will be the coolest day of the long term period with highs staying in the 20s for most. Those in metro areas or located near the Chesapeake Bay will get into the low 30s while higher elevations dip into the low teens.

Is the trashcan lid okay?

Visibility is at 0.75 miles at DCA and 0.5 miles at IAD on 3pm obs https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=lwx&issuedby=LWX&product=RWR

2-3

Almost there... Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 241 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2024 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0100 PM Snow Reagan National Apt 38.85N 77.03W 01/15/2024 M0.7 inch Arlington VA Official NWS Obs 0100 PM Snow Dulles International Ai 38.98N 77.49W 01/15/2024 M0.9 inch Loudoun VA Official NWS Obs

Oh URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 227 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2024 DCZ001-MDZ013-014-016-018-503>506-VAZ053>057-501-502-505-506-526- 527-160330- /O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-240116T1200Z/ District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-Calvert- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania- King George-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun- Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 227 PM EST Mon Jan 15 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches. * WHERE...Portions of central and southern Maryland, The District of Columbia and central and northern Virginia. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the afternoon and Tuesday morning commute.

Field is fine https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/39314436/sun-crews-busy-digging-snow-covered-stadium-bills-playoff-game-vs-steelers

Garrett/Western Highland/Western Grant/Western Pendleton upgraded to WSW

Thank you for your son's service and I pray your son stays safe

What about Fauquier?

4-6 DC to BWI metro on 12z NAM

Too late for us... its gone by 27

Still a bit of wraparound snow/ice at 12z TUES in the region per 12z NAM

Yup... 12z 3km NAM hits DC metro hard between 00z and 04z

Looks like 12z 3km NAM has the same idea as the parent NAM at 01z TUES

Thats's a NICE look at 03z TUES on 12z NAM radar

Both 12z NAM and the 12z 3km NAM bring mod snow back in by 17/18z looks like

Nearly an inch around DC and BWI metro

06z Euro QPF vs 00z Euro QPF

06z on top... 00z bottom image. Kuchera snow map

06z EURO slight increase in QPF and snow amounts compared to 00z

3 to 5

WWA up for Philly... 2-4

WWAs up

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 327 AM EST Mon Jan 15 2024 NJZ006-105>108-NYZ072>075-176>179-152200- /O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0002.240116T0100Z-240116T1800Z/ Hudson-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union- New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)- Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens- Southern Nassau- 327 AM EST Mon Jan 15 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze. * WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. * WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling.