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Everything posted by yoda
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I'd definitely take a decent event. I'm assuming thats a 2-4/3-6 kind of deal... but we haven't had many decent December snowfall down here recently
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Saw a few flakes walking to my car during lunch break at work
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I'll take what the 12z Euro is selling at 204 please Alex
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I didn't get an answer directly, but LWX FB page has an image showing the growing season is over in the LWX CWA for everyone but St. Mary's/Calvert in S MD and King George in VA
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LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Surface cold front will be off the Atlantic coast Monday morning with a deep parent upper trough expected to pivot overhead by early Tuesday. Strong cold air advection is expected behind this front Sunday night through Monday evening on blustery NW winds gusting up to 35 mph. Temperatures Monday and Tuesday will be hard to get out of the 40s with wind chills in the 20s at night and mid 30s during the day. Accumulating snow showers are expected for areas west of the Allegheny Front. High Froude numbers on Monday associated with the strong NW flow indicate potential for snow showers to make it well east of the mountains Monday afternoon, possibly dusting the ground in a few places. Over the mountains, two to fourth tenths liquid water equivalent amounts combined with high SLRs of 18 to 1 may yield snow totals of 3 to 7 inches over the favored upslope areas such as Bayard WV and western Garrett County MD. As of right now, it still looks like an advisory level snow event with a small chance of meeting warning criteria.
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I know this may be more SNE-centric... but i liked seeing this from Will.
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True. I checked the PNSLWX... so I tweeted them to ask
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https://x.com/webberweather/status/1986792853268467905 I like the sound of that
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I believe Howard was already done? Let me check EDIT - NW Howard County had their growing season declared over by LWX on Oct 25th 909 NOUS41 KLWX 251344 PNSLWX MDZ004-005-503-505-VAZ056-505-506-526-260145- Public Information Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 944 AM EDT Sat Oct 25 2025 ...GROWING SEASON HAS ENDED FOR THE PORTIONS OF WEST-CENTRAL MARYLAND, NORTHERN VIRGINIA, AND THE NORTHERN NECK OF VIRGINIA... Based on freezing temperatures last night into this morning, the growing season has been declared over for the following counties: In Maryland: Carroll, northwest Howard, northwest Montgomery, and Frederick In Virginia: Loudoun, northwest Prince William, Spotsylvania As a result, no Frost/Freeze headlines will be issued for these areas until Spring 2026.
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First appearance in the metro zones 28 29 30 179 FPUS51 KLWX 071134 ZFPLWX Zone Forecast Product National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 633 AM EST Fri Nov 7 2025 DCZ001-071500- District of Columbia- Including the city of Washington 633 AM EST Fri Nov 7 2025 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING... .TODAY...Sunny this morning, then becoming partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. .TONIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. A 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph, becoming southwest in the afternoon. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the lower 40s. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain. Lows in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. .VETERANS DAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.
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No more freeze/frost products for anyone except S MD 911 NOUS41 KLWX 071257 PNSLWX DCZ001-MDZ008-011-013-014-018-504-506-508-VAZ053>055-527-080100- Public Information Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 757 AM EST Fri Nov 7 2025 ...GROWING SEASON HAS ENDED FOR THE PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MARYLAND, CENTRAL MARYLAND, & NORTHERN VIRGINIA .. Based on freezing temperatures last night into this morning, the growing season has been declared over for the following counties: In Maryland: Cecil, southern Baltimore, Prince Georges, Anne Arundel, Charles, central and southeast Montgomery, & southeast Harford. In Virginia: Fairfax, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Stafford, central and southeast Prince William, & Manassas/Manassas Park. In Washington DC: Washington DC As a result, no Frost/Freeze headlines will be issued for these areas until Spring 2026.
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LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Sunday`s cold front is expected to be offshore by Monday morning. In its wake, the deep parent upper trough and its accompanying cold airmass will pivot overhead. Mid/upper-level heights and low/mid- level temperatures are forecast to be 3-4 standard deviations below normal per NAEFS climatology (i.e. 850 hPa temps -8 to -13 C 12Z Tuesday, which may challenge the daily record for the KIAD UA). Strong cold air advection and a persistent pressure gradient between low pressure over southeastern Canada and Polar high pressure building in from the Midwest will lead to blustery conditions. Despite downsloping northwest flow and peaks of sunshine, high temperatures on Monday and Tuesday will struggle to escape the 40s. In fact, some guidance keeps high temperatures in the 30s for most of the region (coldest Tuesday). Higher elevations will be notably colder by about 10-15 degrees, and wind chills will be a factor as well (running 10-20 degrees below the air temps). Wind chills may not get much above freezing for very long Monday and Tuesday, even during the afternoon hours as winds gust to 30 mph or more. With the northwest flow comes a favorable trajectory off of the Great Lakes. This is expected to result in the first accumulating upslope snow event of the season (likely begins late Sunday night and persists into Monday night or perhaps early Tuesday morning). It remains a bit too soon to speculate on exact amounts, but the first plowable snowfall of the season is becoming ever more likely along and west of the Allegheny Front. Some guidance implies possible warning-level snowfall along the west-facing slopes of the higher peaks, which makes sense given some instability and moisture overlapping the DGZ (as evidenced by a high Snow Squall Parameter). An embedded shortwave and higher FROUDE numbers indicate the potential for precipitation moving east of the Allegheny Front, with accumulating snow possible particularly late Monday into Monday night into the foothills east of the highest ridges. Depending on the strength of the wave and the amount of available moisture, snow showers may dot the landscape well into the Piedmont and possibly even the metro areas Monday night. Although significant snowfall accumulation is unlikely east of the Appalachians, the cold air and snow shower potential would be a fitting reminder of the record Veteran`s Day snowstorm that occurred nearly 4 decades ago.
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I know, but the impetus behind it isn't needed
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66mph gust at HGR
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Wizards done... Capitals done
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Ravens and Eagles trade https://www.profootballrumors.com/2025/11/eagles-trade-for-ravens-cb-jaire-alexander#ref=home
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https://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/breaking-news/article/ravens-fined-100k-by-nfl-for-violating-injury-report-policy-regarding-lamar-jacksons-week-8-status-175454372.html
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Daily record for that day
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Pretty decent line forming west of EZF
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Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1220 AM CDT Thu Oct 30 2025 Valid 301200Z - 311200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms with an isolated damaging wind/tornado threat may occur from coastal North Carolina into parts of the Mid Atlantic. ...Middle Atlantic... Seasonally strong upper low over eastern TN is beginning to eject northeast, partly in response to an upstream speed max digging southeast across the northern High Plains. This lead low will advance into WV by 18z before moving into upstate NY by the end of the period. Favorable high-level diffluence/large-scale ascent will encourage a surface low to be drawn north-northwest across the Middle Atlantic to a position near the MD/PA border by mid day. This track will permit higher theta-e air mass to overspread eastern VA/Delmarva into southeast PA such that buoyancy will become supportive of deep convection. Early-day shear will prove strongest across the Middle Atlantic as LLJ will be focused across eastern MD into central PA. LLJ will shift quickly north into NY by 18z along with more focused low-level warm advection. Prior to this, forecast soundings exhibit strongly sheared environment with adequate instability for thunderstorms. While the maximum SBCAPE should peak near 500-600 J/kg, a few robust updrafts are possible given the strength of the wind fields. Isolated strong/severe thunderstorms, possibly supercells, may generate damaging winds and perhaps a tornado or two. Greatest risk is between sunrise and 21z. ..Darrow/Wendt.. 10/30/2025
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Morning LWX and SPC discussion mentioned a few supercells possible with brief tornado threat The southern low will serve as the triple point, eventually merging with the western low and tracking toward southern Pennsylvania this afternoon. It will draw a warmer and more moist airmass northward with it, representing the area with the highest risk of severe weather. So far, nothing on region radar suggests the development of deeper/more organized convection. But this threat will be worth watching through the morning hours as the airmass rapidly changes. Most HREF parameters have increased compared to 24 hours ago in suggesting thunderstorm/severe weather potential. Damaging winds will be the main threat given strong wind fields/shear aloft, but there could also be a brief tornado risk near the triple point. The main time window seems to be between 5 AM and 1 PM. Some guidance indicates a trailing line of convection that crosses during the afternoon hours with the first front/wind shift, but it`s not clear how much this can organize as the better low level wind fields may have already passed. In terms of rainfall, some localized amounts over 1 inch have been observed. Overall heavier elements are localized and very fast moving, so the short term flooding risk seems low. Will have to continue to monitor this threat though, as locations that end up in the 2-3 inch bin could see some minor high water issues. Most locations should end up in the 60s today as there should be breaks of sun this afternoon, with some places along the I-95 corridor potentially near 70.
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Major Hurricane Melissa - 892mb - 185mph Jamaica landfall
yoda replied to GaWx's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Well he did post pictures of where he was stationed already
