yoda

Webb says we're screwed https://x.com/webberweather/status/2002755646454993016 https://x.com/webberweather/status/2002759593269792869

Orioles fans https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/12/orioles-nearing-deal-to-acquire-shane-baz-from-rays.html

Somewhere on my old computer I have the model snowfall images for i think it was Jan 2016. Was that the one that had the 70 inches at IAD?

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1153 AM EST Thu Dec 18 2025 DCZ001-MDZ013-014-503-504-VAZ026-027-029>031-036>040-053-054-501-505- 506-526-190100- /O.EXA.KLWX.WI.Y.0024.251219T1700Z-251220T0000Z/ District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Rockingham-Shenandoah- Page-Warren-Clarke-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock- Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Northern Fauquier- Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William- 1153 AM EST Thu Dec 18 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 45 to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Washington DC, and portions of central Maryland, and central, northern, northwest, and western Virginia. * WHEN...From noon to 7 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Gusty winds may persist for several more hours Friday evening.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1153 AM EST Thu Dec 18 2025 MDZ003>006-008-011-505>508-VAZ028-WVZ050>053-055-190100- /O.CON.KLWX.WI.Y.0024.251219T1700Z-251220T0000Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford-Frederick VA-Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley- Jefferson-Hardy- 1153 AM EST Thu Dec 18 2025 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts of 45 to 55 mph expected. * WHERE...Portions of central, north-central, northeast, and northern Maryland, northwest Virginia, and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...From noon to 7 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Gusty winds may persist for several more hours Friday evening. A few gusts to near 60 mph are possible, especially along and just east of higher terrain.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1153 AM EST Thu Dec 18 2025 MDZ502-509-VAZ503-504-507-508-WVZ502-504-506-190100- /O.UPG.KLWX.WI.Y.0024.251219T1100Z-251220T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.HW.W.0004.251219T1100Z-251220T0000Z/ Central and Eastern Allegany-Western Garrett-Western Highland- Eastern Highland-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Eastern Grant-Eastern Mineral-Eastern Pendleton- 1153 AM EST Thu Dec 18 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph expected. * WHERE...In Maryland, Central and Eastern Allegany and Western Garrett Counties. In Virginia, Central Virginia Blue Ridge and Northern Virginia Blue Ridge, and Eastern Highland and Western Highland Counties. In West Virginia, Eastern Grant, Eastern Mineral, and Eastern Pendleton Counties. * WHEN...From 6 AM to 7 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds are expected above 3000 feet around or just before daybreak Friday. A second and more widespread surge will follow from about midday through late afternoon, with a third surge of wind possible Friday evening.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1153 AM EST Thu Dec 18 2025 MDZ501-510-WVZ501-503-505-190100- /O.UPG.KLWX.HW.A.0003.251219T1100Z-251220T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.HW.W.0004.251219T1100Z-251220T0300Z/ Extreme Western Allegany-Eastern Garrett-Western Grant-Western Mineral-Western Pendleton- 1153 AM EST Thu Dec 18 2025 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 10 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...West winds 25 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph expected. * WHERE...In Maryland, Eastern Garrett and Extreme Western Allegany Counties. In West Virginia, Western Grant, Western Mineral, and Western Pendleton Counties. * WHEN...From 6 AM to 10 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strongest winds are expected above 3000 feet around or just before daybreak Friday. A second and more widespread surge will follow from about midday through late afternoon, with a third surge of wind expected Friday evening.

Oh yes... just cant wait for more wind tomorrow!

I see a near 5" LSR near Damascus

00z 3km NAM

I know it's nowcast time... but here is 00z NAM

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 701 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 DCZ001-MDZ008-011-013-014-016-018-503>506-508-VAZ053-054-506-140815- /O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0028.251214T0500Z-251214T1500Z/ District of Columbia-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Southeast Harford-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Eastern Loudoun- 701 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 1 and 3 inches. * WHERE...Portions of DC, central, northeast, northern, and southern Maryland, and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation may briefly start as rain in some locations this evening but quickly turn to snow. A narrow band of heavier snow may develop during the late evening and overnight which could produce more rapid accumulations and visibility less than one half mile.

MDZ004>006-507-140815- /O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0028.251214T0100Z-251214T1200Z/ Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Northwest Harford- 701 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 1 and 3 inches. Localized totals of 4 to 5 inches are possible, especially across northern Frederick, Carroll, Baltimore, Harford, and Carroll counties. * WHERE...Carroll, Frederick MD, Northern Baltimore, and Northwest Harford Counties. * WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation may briefly start as rain in some locations this evening but quickly turn to snow. A narrow band of heavier snow may develop during the late evening and overnight which could produce more rapid accumulations and visibility less than one half mile. Highest totals look to be just north of I-695 and I-70. Other roadways likely to see impacts include MD-136, MD-145, MD-24, and I-83 points north toward the PA/ MD line.

O.EXA.KLWX.WW.Y.0028.251214T0500Z-251214T1500Z/ Western Loudoun- 701 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 1 and 3 inches. * WHERE...Western Loudoun County. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 10 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation may briefly start as rain in some locations this evening but quickly turn to snow. A narrow band of heavier snow may develop during the late evening and overnight which could produce more rapid accumulations and visibility less than one half mile.

That game was a disaster. You were up 5-1. How do you fooking lose that game? This team has serious 3rd period problems

My sister has been going nuts the whole 4th quarter lol

So just so I get it right... mentioning Gwen or Superman 4 is ban-worthy?

Can we take the 18z RAP?

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 214 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-102-104-106-141000- /O.UPG.KPHI.WW.Y.0015.251214T0000Z-251214T1800Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0004.251214T0000Z-251214T1800Z/ Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Delaware-Philadelphia- Eastern Chester-Eastern Montgomery-Lower Bucks- Including the cities of Camden, Cherry Hill, Moorestown, Glassboro, Philadelphia, Media, Lansdale, Kennett Square, West Chester, Morrisville, Mount Holly, Norristown, and Doylestown 214 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 5 inches. * WHERE...Portions of southern New Jersey and southeast Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will likely become slick and hazardous. Plan on slippery road conditions.

I'll take my 1-2" and call it a day from the 18z GFS

Seems the "death band" is a bit earlier... now more around 09z

Appalachians, precipitation will struggle to make progress to the east of the Allegheny Front for several hours. As the wave amplifies and approaches from the west, most models show a jet steak developing downstream, with forcing for ascent increasing within the equatorward entrance of the jet streak. Most solutions show the jet entrance region lining up right along I-95. Ascent within the jet entrance region may cause precipitation to jump eastward and develop in-situ along the I-95 corridor, largely skipping locations between the Allegheny Front and Blue Ridge. Precipitation within the jet entrance region to the east of the Blue Ridge is expected to blossom during the mid-late evening hours, and then slowly drift southeastward through the remainder of the night. The precipitation may begin as a brief period of rain or mixed rain and snow, especially along and southeast of the I-95 corridor. This mix should be short-lived however, as much colder air rushes in behind an Arctic front that will move through over the course of the night. In terms of timing, some light precipitation could begin as early as the mid-late evening hours, but the bulk of the precipitation along the I-95 corridor is expected to occur between roughly 11 PM and 7 AM. The band that will develop will be a relatively narrow feature, and will feature moderate to heavy snow at times. Snowfall rates within the band could near or potentially briefly exceed one inch per hour at times late Saturday night. With a narrow feature producing heavy precipitation, snow totals will be heavily dependent on the ultimate placement of this band. This, combined with the potential for a bit of mixing with rain at onset makes for a challenging snowfall forecast. Probabilistically speaking, 12z guidance has focused in on the I-95 corridor from DC northeastward, and then eastward along US-50 toward the Chesapeake, with northeast Maryland southward toward Annapolis having the greatest probabilities for higher totals. As of this moment, a broad 1-4 inches from the vicinity of the I-95 corridor eastward appears like the most likely scenario, with embedded maxes of 4-7 inches possible where the band resides for the longest time period. Since there will be very sharp snowfall gradients on the edges of this band, and there`s still a bit of uncertainty with respect to where this band will be, we`ve decided to hold off on issuing headlines to the east of the Blue Ridge for the time being. Headlines will almost certainly be needed eventually, and we`ll continue to assess trends and refine the forecast through the remainder of the day. Snow will end from northwest to southeast a few hours either side of daybreak, with the back edge of the snow clearing southern Maryland by around mid-morning. Strong cold air advection is expected behind the Arctic front through the day Sunday, with 850 hPa temperatures crashing to around -15 to -20 C by peak heating. This will cause temperatures to drop through the 20s over the course of the day. Northwesterly wind gusts to around 35 mph will make it feel even colder, pushing wind chills into the single digits and teens. After the snow moves out, dry conditions are expected to the east of the mountains. Upslope snow showers will linger in the Alleghenies over the course of the day. Cold and windy conditions will continue through Sunday night, with cold weather headlines likely being needed for portions of the area. &&

@NorthArlington101 do you have the closeup version? This is the closest PW gets