yoda

@mitchnick putting it in the wrong thread lol

EPS was tasty... but we shall see lol

Oh okay then (this afternoon AFD from LWX) LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... A more active weather pattern is likely to build over region late this weekend and continue to the early parts of next week bringing multiple chances for wintry precipitation. The first chance in the long term period for wintry precipitation will occur Sunday into early Monday morning as a strong sfc low passes to the north with it`s attending front moving through our region on Sunday. As precipitation associated with the front moves into the region, cold air in place ahead of the boundary may allow for some front end wintry precipitation. Additional wintry precipitation will be possible on the back end side of the front as cold air rushes into the region. Model guidance continues to have considerable spread on precipitation types with freezing rain and snow possible. Based recent trends,the best chance for impactful wintry precipitation at this time will likely be in areas along and west of the I-81 corridor. A brief lull in precipitation is likely on Monday, but a strong coastal low passing to the south of the region will bring another round of precipitation to the region Tuesday into Wednesday. Weather models have a range of solutions for the Tuesday event with some solutions having a combination heavy rain and some wintry precipitation and other solutions indicating the chance for a decent accumulating snow event. National Blend of Model plume graphics really shows the uncertainty with snow solutions ranging from 0 inches to near 15 inches of snow. At this time, we continue to have low confidence in the wintry threat early next week, but it`s a period of note worth keeping an eye on for planning purposes. &&

Indeed it is

12z Ukie smokes BR and west

And the ukie aka crazy uncle squashed the 12/2 threat at 12z

The cold air press looks stronger than the GFS/GGEM based off the 540 line location

Very nice.... weather outside

Can't I have a piece of that negative NAO? La Nina doesn't need that

New thread been give

Its time for snow. And cold. But mainly snow please

You have good luck... start it

I know this is from SNE... but would this be good for us in future days after? Or is this a gradient pattern that sucks for us? Today's 12z EPS at the very end btw

https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/47017746/orioles-acquire-taylor-ward-angels-grayson-rodriguez

30% bust 50% normal 20% boom

I'd definitely take a decent event. I'm assuming thats a 2-4/3-6 kind of deal... but we haven't had many decent December snowfall down here recently

Saw a few flakes walking to my car during lunch break at work

I'll take what the 12z Euro is selling at 204 please Alex

I didn't get an answer directly, but LWX FB page has an image showing the growing season is over in the LWX CWA for everyone but St. Mary's/Calvert in S MD and King George in VA

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Surface cold front will be off the Atlantic coast Monday morning with a deep parent upper trough expected to pivot overhead by early Tuesday. Strong cold air advection is expected behind this front Sunday night through Monday evening on blustery NW winds gusting up to 35 mph. Temperatures Monday and Tuesday will be hard to get out of the 40s with wind chills in the 20s at night and mid 30s during the day. Accumulating snow showers are expected for areas west of the Allegheny Front. High Froude numbers on Monday associated with the strong NW flow indicate potential for snow showers to make it well east of the mountains Monday afternoon, possibly dusting the ground in a few places. Over the mountains, two to fourth tenths liquid water equivalent amounts combined with high SLRs of 18 to 1 may yield snow totals of 3 to 7 inches over the favored upslope areas such as Bayard WV and western Garrett County MD. As of right now, it still looks like an advisory level snow event with a small chance of meeting warning criteria.

I know this may be more SNE-centric... but i liked seeing this from Will.

True. I checked the PNSLWX... so I tweeted them to ask

https://x.com/webberweather/status/1986792853268467905 I like the sound of that

I believe Howard was already done? Let me check EDIT - NW Howard County had their growing season declared over by LWX on Oct 25th 909 NOUS41 KLWX 251344 PNSLWX MDZ004-005-503-505-VAZ056-505-506-526-260145- Public Information Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 944 AM EDT Sat Oct 25 2025 ...GROWING SEASON HAS ENDED FOR THE PORTIONS OF WEST-CENTRAL MARYLAND, NORTHERN VIRGINIA, AND THE NORTHERN NECK OF VIRGINIA... Based on freezing temperatures last night into this morning, the growing season has been declared over for the following counties: In Maryland: Carroll, northwest Howard, northwest Montgomery, and Frederick In Virginia: Loudoun, northwest Prince William, Spotsylvania As a result, no Frost/Freeze headlines will be issued for these areas until Spring 2026.