Someone remind me, am I remembering the last couple fall seasons correctly in that they featured a perfect winter-like pattern? Super active with LPs passing through New England every few days or so. Then come winter we lose the pattern in early December and whine about how great the pattern was in October.
That sound about right?
Starting to wonder if we are about to do that again? Guidance is certainly hinting at an active pattern of troughiness for the eastern half of the continent. Take a look at that persistent trough in today's GFS. The Ensemble means appear to me to be hinting at a longwave trough in the eastern 1/2 for September.
Would be disappointing if that unfolds again.