Every time George mentions a Miller-type system, in my head I hear Jeff Goldblum from Independence Day: "Forget the fat lady, you're obsessed with the fat lady!".
If we ping at all its around 1p or so when the edge of the dry slot is on our doorstep. We're basically a lock for 8" at this point. Outside shot at 10-12" if we get in a band or sit on the good side of the coastal front.
12z GFS is laughable: cutter, suppression, suppression, cutter.
Blending other guidance its probably more like: Cutter, SWFE, Suppression, Cutter.
Just end it already.