Chrisrotary12
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Everything posted by Chrisrotary12
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It’s only 300 miles different than the NAM.
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GFS at 24 has a way different handling of the northern stream compared to NAM/RGEM.
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I’ve never actually looked at the icon before. Does it typically come out in non-sequential order? On TropicalTidbits, hr 66 is randomly available.
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At 48 the Reggie is better aloft than NAM me thinks.
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00z HRRR has some nice mood flakes for Friday.
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I'd take my chances with the NAM. Ok what's next?
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I mean it almost looks like it blows up an MCS on the warm front and races it to Nova Scotia.
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It's not. But it's lightyears better than 18z. Focus on the improvements it made through 48 hrs aloft.
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At 63, the SLP is chasing convection northeast quick. Regardless, great run aloft.
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Definitely a bit slower. Dragging its heals off Carolinas it seems.
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At about hour 24 I stopped toggling with the 18z run and am now only toggling between 00z and 12z.
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Is the NAM going to whiff? At 500mb it looks just like its 06z run except the SLP is about 750 miles east-northeast.
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Reasonable call except for the lack of 13-14" amounts as many have noted.
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Somehow this storm is still 3 days away in the model guidance. Doesn't really get going until 12z Saturday.
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Screaming Sou'wester on the Euro.
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Remove the double low from the solution and the Euro is still perfect.
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Look for the car crash in the atmosphere. Where the winds are both converging (fast to slow) and turning (from ENE to NE or N). Verbatim in this figure that's generally from TOL-ORH-ASH.
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People freaking out about the GFS then you realize that this image is still 3.25 days away.
