Chrisrotary12

NAM says what soaker on Sunday?

Are we sure that Sunday is a soaker? Suppose it depends on one's definition of soaker.

Steined in round 1. Just a few drops on the pavement.

Ok. Consider me slightly intrigued.

5*

Me on Sunday: The weather Monday & Tuesday looks good. I'll go fish one of those days. Me on Monday: Wow. Tons of popcorn showers around. Weather looks good tomorrow. Tells wife about fishing plan. Me today: Actually checks work calendar and sees a meeting from 430-530p. F ME.

Have given 4 of them a bath this spring. They chewed their way into the space above my garage. That was final straw.

Been snizzle for last couple hours. Slot well modeled. We melt.

All I want to know is the snow good for my lawn seed? Has to be right.....just water.

S- - here in the death valley of New England.

All snow and just pounding now. Grass and mulch beds beginning to cover.

Absolute fatties beginning to mix in

Just back from grocery store.......95% rain with ice pellets mixing in. 44.4 F

By the way....final got there. Although not perfectly, still wraps up, just further east for now. In the modeling guidance at least. We'll see what she actually does.

The lead up to this system is reminding me of the fall system just last year. 3 days out: "oh hey. nice storm. too bad it's not 6 weeks from now. Some elevated snows." 2 days out: "drifting southeast, wrapping cold air in, maybe everyone sees flakes." 1 day out: "we're so close to a region wide crippling event." day of: "What is BOX doing? Why haven't they hoisted warnings? are they even looking at the models." Actual event: "oh hey. nice storm. too bad it wasn't 6 weeks from now. Cool that elevation got snow though."

And the NAM gets to where I thought we might at some point in the modeling guidance. It is currently the furthest southeast member of guidance, but everything is slowly drifting that way, but I doubt it gets all the way there. Does this system synoptically remind anyone else of the late February 2010 storm? LP center backing into SNE from the southeast. That was the Merrimack Valley wind storm right?

The wind with this system will be the bigger story than snow for the lower elevations. Not a bold statement, just trying to set expectations.

CT River flooding on the NAM

Almost there! Note: for sensible purposes, not currently expecting accumulations outside of elevation. Flakes yes for most places though.

I wonder if we see a correction that direction in the coming days (at least a little bit). I feel like we are right in the window of modeling guidance where it over corrects on wrapping up these coastal lows. You know the period of "OMG it's going to stall and loop south of ACK". Then when the actual event happens its always more progressive and never actually stalls or loops.

In my history of being on this weather forum I do believe that this post has the honor of being the first I have given the hot dog and bun symbol to. Congratulations.

For real? I was only reading about there being trout in that river.

Anyone ever fish the Ammonoosuc River in the White Mountains? Going to be staying up there in August right on the river. Hoping to land a few good trout.

I'm quietly rooting for Tony Finau (+4000) this week.

Bass. Weather turned on me yesterday evening. Was 68 and sunny when i left. 10 mins later at pond it was overcast, cool and windy. Ended up catching a perch. So not shutout.