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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. Compare that to 00Z and its a pretty big step down.
  2. Euro is a textbook La Nina pattern through 16 days.
  3. The way its trending it will be a Lynchburg north storm. More likely to be a flood threat.
  4. Just an awful Euro run from day 6 onward unless you like cold rain. At least 3 different rain storms in 6-11 day period.
  5. And more cold rain a few days later on the Euro. At least it will help the drought.
  6. That ridge is going to be hard to beat. As models are now keeping the cold too far north
  7. Its not. Its cold rain outside of higher elevation ice along the Blue Ridge in NC. DC is the big winner (shocker)
  8. Euro looks a lot like the GFS. If the EPS trends north it might be over already for NC south.
  9. Front never really pushes through and gets hung up right over NC.
  10. Fun times ahead I think. We are overdue for a February snow.
  11. Going to be a sharp cutoff between the haves and have nots. We need the front to push further south.
  12. Foothills and mountains and north are still very much in the game. South of 85 probably not.
  13. Euro AI still shows a significant winter storm.
  14. For now. But we are teetering on the edge. We need it to trend south like many systems have this year.
  15. Just doesn't look like the cold push will be strong enough. I hate 30s and rain. Give me the SE death ridge.
  16. We need the high to trend stronger but its trending weaker and this could be a cold rain for most in NC south.
  17. GFS looks totally different than the Euro
  18. I honestly think this one might not due to the confluence in the NE and the CAD high showing up. Of course that could all weaken but I'm more hopeful than usual.
  19. It's 10/11 days out but its the best look we've had all winter IMO. Lots can go wrong obviously we need the confluence to be strong in the NE and the high to be positioned correctly but there is legit CAD showing up and a strong system.
  20. GFS showing a major winter storm for NC Cad areas Feb 11-13 time frame. Verbatim snow to sleet to ice.
  21. I said a few days ago that Feb 10-15 had potential.
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