The NAM (I know) has AVL at 26 with a dewpoint of 18 Friday night around midnight. If that verifies before the moisture moves it, it will be difficult to get above freezing especially in CAD areas.
The latest Euro isn't as bad but its still a lot of cutters. Hopefully after the 15th or so it will finally transition to a better pattern. I'm in wait and see mode though.
A product of climate change I think. Even when we get 12 inches of rain in 2 weeks, it almost all runs off and the water table goes down quickly allowing the droughts to intensify quicker.
I'm not there yet but its concerning. The Pacific is still ruining our snow chances. I hope we can at least get a few inches of slop before the downpours this Saturday morning.
We need to get rid of this -PNA. If not its going to be rain, get cold, warm up, rain, get cold, warm up, rain. Aka our normal winter pattern most years.