Might as well hangon because this is still the best shot many of us have had all winter and will likely be the best shot barring a March madness miracle
It's not just the NAM showing this though. The high res GFS fv3, HRRR, and canadian. Only the highest peaks may get 6+ out of this and that's even questionable.
It's so borderline here it's honestly going to be a nowcast situation I think. If we get under the heavy deformation band we could get 3 to 5. If not its likely we get mostly slop and a dusting to an inch.
Good thing is.. It's a pretty quick drive to the victor tract and 3k plus.