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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. wncsnow
    .77 here. These nice slow rains are good and don't runoff
  2. wncsnow
    Rain has also really shifted east. We may not get half an inch across most of the area. We do still need rain believe it or not. The water table is low and we are at a 5 to 10 inch deficit for 2023 for the region.
  3. wncsnow
    Good news is the low really pulls in some cold air after it passes and a nice vort crosses giving the mountains their best NW flow of the season.
  4. wncsnow
    Just a SLIIGGGHTTTT difference
  5. wncsnow
    Models have been trending east all day. New Euro doesn't give us more than an inch of rain even in the foothills.
  6. wncsnow
    I totally agree. Could set up a big -NAO
  7. wncsnow
    I have a theory that we needed to end the drought before we could get some real winter threats. We'll see if that's correct.
  8. wncsnow
    Looks like it will be ending soon
  9. wncsnow
    The weeklies change more than a politician. I have seen this song and dance many times. Delaying the pattern change or diminishing it. Here we go again.
  10. wncsnow
    Pacific jet is controlling everything like usual. Odds of a snowy winter are diminishing each week.
  11. wncsnow
    Hi Res NAM not looking good unless you are above 3k or 4k
  12. wncsnow
    This rain has put a number on the drought. I'm at 2.65 already.
  13. wncsnow
    NAM falling in line too
  14. wncsnow
    New HRRR is more reasonable
  15. wncsnow
    If Asheville gets an inch that would be a huge win. I wouldn't expect more than token flakes there.
  16. wncsnow
    Hi Res GFS
  17. wncsnow
    Euro is trending worse and worse
  18. wncsnow
    This is actually the 12Z NAM
  19. wncsnow
    Maybe the Euro will come around but its showing less than the last little system.
  20. wncsnow
    It's 20 here this morning. It's been colder than last fall/winter to this point.
  21. wncsnow
    Euro isn't impressed
  22. wncsnow
    Temps were an issue in lower elevations. Had some pretty good snow showers in Black Mountain mixed with rain at 37.
  23. wncsnow
    Seems underwhelming
  24. wncsnow
    I don't think it will be as warm and it will be better than last winter. We probably have 2 or 3 shots of decent snow in the foothills with gulf lows/miller b CAD systems. I think late Jan-February will be the best timeframe with Nino climo. With that being said, I think the Pacific could royally screw us again if it keeps screaming. December will likely not have any big threats due to the Pacific and general lack of cold air in North America.
  25. wncsnow
    I will say the weeklies showed a good pattern coming up most of last winter and it never came to fruition.
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