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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. The storm is more likely to produce severe than snow or ice.
  2. What do you think happens when we have stratospheric warming events? It disrupts the polar vortex and all the cold built up in the arctic and allows it to move south. It may not have a bearing on what will have in February or March but it does for January.
  3. Of course there isn't an "allowance" but if you think that didn't have any bearing on the pattern the past week weeks you haven't been paying attention. The bomb low track thorough the Midwest causing the severe cold also broke down the block that formed totally resetting the pattern. Cold builds up and releases.
  4. That cold snap we had around Christmas caused more harm to the overall pattern than good. All it did was exhaust the cold source for a few weeks or more. There is some cold air but nothing like back in December.
  5. Well the Euro does give you a good NWFS again but nothing for foothills.
  6. It does feel a bit more winterlike this morning. First night below freezing in a week.
  7. If we get blanked hopefully there is a robust NW flow or elevation dependent snow for me to chase at least. Haven't even had that this winter.
  8. This winter serms doomed. Reminds me a lot of 2011-2012 which was another moderate Nina
  9. Obviously this is a highly unlikely scenario with the Euro and CMC. However, if we were to ever get a storm like that, this would be the scenario. A massive upper low and associated coastal crawling up the coast throwing tons of moisture off the Atlantic and Gulf piling up against the Blue Ridge and Apps. It's basically what happened in January 2016 and December 2018. Most of our areas 2 biggest storms the past 10 years.
  10. This might be the most insane clown map I have ever seen for this area in my 25+ years of following models.
  11. Webb is incredibly negative lately. Didn't know he moved.
  12. EPS is as solid as can be at this range.. 1/22/2016 storm looking analogous..
  13. It basically stalls off the coast and somewhere in WNC is gonna get 2 feet verbatim..
  14. This is a weenie run for WNC. Gonna be some crazy clown maps
  15. Wake up everyone, we may actually have something to track for the first time in a long time!
  16. Euro looks pretty north so far compared to last night
  17. Odd solution from the euro but it gives much of NC snow
  18. After going below freezing for over a week, we are now on 4 nights in a row of above freezing temps for mby. It was an astonishing 60 degrees at 8 a.m. on Old Fort mountain.
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