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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. wncsnow
    Last night's op Euro shows how we can fail. Not enough of a ridge in the west leads to over amplication and rain then the real cold and dry hits right before Christmas.
  2. wncsnow
    Could be fun times ahead
  3. wncsnow
    The Euro isn't even close. With the low pressure up in the northern plains its highly unlikely.
  4. wncsnow
    I know one thing.. The ski resorts are going to be hurting if the pattern doesn't change soon.
  5. wncsnow
    Yep the "pattern change" keeps getting delayed over and over again on the EPS. It was December 10- then the 13th, now it may not be until the 19th and looks muted. I think the best chances for snow this winter may be later in the season in February or March. Not typical in a Nina but this one should be dying by then.
  6. wncsnow
    One thing is for sure, it's going to be really wet this month. Hopefully we can get the cold sooner or later..
  7. wncsnow
    It would be nice if they can bring in some cold first. Moisture doesn't seem like it will be an issue with the active Pacific
  8. wncsnow
    The Pacific is going to screw up the -NAO as it often does.
  9. wncsnow
    Op Models still look rainy and warm here through mid month
  10. wncsnow
    Op Models look like crap still. SE ridge holding strong.
  11. wncsnow
    Are we still expecting a pattern change in mid December?
  12. wncsnow
    Long range seems to be up in the air at this point. Some models showing a typical La Nina pattern, others show more blocking and cold air around. We'll see what's right.
  13. wncsnow
    17 for the new coldest low of the season.
  14. wncsnow
    Pretty good signal for a decent NWFS event next Friday/Saturday
  15. wncsnow
    18 this morning. Coldest of the season so far.
  16. wncsnow
    Wind is picking up as a nasty cell heads this way. Flash flood warning now in effect
  17. wncsnow
    We got some serious cells earlier that caused some flash flooding. 3 inches of rain so far
  18. wncsnow
    High mountains could get some wintry precip but there seems to be just enough of a SE ridge (and its mid November) to keep it too warm for most. Wetter pattern looks pretty certain unless the NW flow is too strong.
  19. wncsnow
    Areas right along the Blue Ridge escarpment got pounded. Some places in Watauga actually got 4 inches of rain.
  20. wncsnow
    We have already got 2.5 in the past 10 days so if we get 3 or 4 more from this system, the drought will be over here pretty much.
  21. wncsnow
    82 here today.
  22. wncsnow
    1.07 for this event so far and that is also close to my monthly total- 1.13
  23. wncsnow
    Did not expect this much rain. Closing in on an inch already
  24. wncsnow
    November looks to be well above average. We may not get another freeze until the end of the month.
  25. wncsnow
    Only .35 3 miles west of Marion. Heaviest stuff just missed to the southeast
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