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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. FWIW GFS is a little north/west this run compared to the previous few. Landfall north of Port Charlotte and moves close to Tampa just inland
  2. This run does get it off the Atlantic Coast near JAX and it a little faster than last night
  3. Crawling up through central Florida
  4. Its about 30 miles south closer to Port Charlotte
  5. Euro is pretty similar to last nights 00Z run so far
  6. GFS is identical to the last run almost. Crawling up the coast south of Sarasota
  7. True but not to the extent shown with this system, it is shown moving all the way back to Charlotte not skirting up the coast.
  8. If this keeps trending east, it could have enough time to maintain or re-strengthen a little then move back into SC
  9. I'm sure it has happened in history, but I can never recall a storm crossing Florida from the Gulf side then turning back west into SC/GA or NC after entering the Atlantic.
  10. Anyone got rainfall maps from the 18z Euro?
  11. Someone in NC or VA is going to get 8" or more of rain out of this
  12. Euro keeps pumping out 6 plus here along the escarpment. We could handle it most likely but if we get any training of cells along the Blue Ridge it could get ugly.
  13. It's a good 20 mb stronger than 00Z
  14. Euro is a little west and substantially stronger than 00z
  15. Maybe not New York but if this storm stalls in the southern Appalachians, it could mean serious flooding, mudslides, etc. Pretty much all of the models have over 4 inches of rain up to 8 inches of rain for the eastern escarpment of the Blue Ridge in Western NC/SC into NE GA. Luckily it has been dry lately but with the SE flow leading to orographical uplift, it could get ugly fast,
  16. Flooding may well be the biggest story when all is said and done in Florida. Ian is going to crawl
  17. Euro is a beast sub 950 mb making landfall near Naples
  18. Looks a little further southwest through 48 on the Euro
  19. Not anytime soon, could be weeks until significant rain.
  20. We got down to 49 here. Very possible we don't see anymore rain this month
  21. .65 already and pouring. Quite breezy too which is a bit strange for my area.
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