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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. wncsnow
    It's warmer than the previous run
  2. wncsnow
    HRRR coming into range.
  3. wncsnow
    Let's see what the short range guidance says today. Last night it all moved NW and put the deform band through east TN
  4. wncsnow
    Trends are not our friend overnight. Hopefully the bleeding stops or it moves back in the other direction
  5. wncsnow
    It's so borderline here it's honestly going to be a nowcast situation I think. If we get under the heavy deformation band we could get 3 to 5. If not its likely we get mostly slop and a dusting to an inch. Good thing is.. It's a pretty quick drive to the victor tract and 3k plus.
  6. wncsnow
    Still good for northern mountains and most of central and southern. It was a big decrease for northern foothills.
  7. wncsnow
    Euro looks a little more NW than 12Z so far
  8. wncsnow
    Kuchera should be more accurate
  9. wncsnow
    It's taking longer to turnover each run but there are heavy rates and it adds up quickly
  10. wncsnow
    Hi Res GFS looks pretty bad too through 60. It also has ice for mountains.
  11. wncsnow
    Hi Res NAM only goes to 60 but isnt as good overall. Further north with low
  12. wncsnow
    I'm literally 10 miles from less than an inch and 10 miles or less from 8+ on the NAM. 3 or 4 ish imby.
  13. wncsnow
    North GA is definitely in the game with todays trends.
  14. wncsnow
    NAM big hit for smokies and SW NC. Not as good once again for the northern mtns
  15. wncsnow
    But then it warms up and turns to rain
  16. wncsnow
    NAM has me below freezing, most models don't.
  17. wncsnow
    Atlanta getting raked
  18. wncsnow
    More ZR on the NAM
  19. wncsnow
    Yes based on elevation but that doesn't always work as you said. I will take Hunters local expertise on microclimates.
  20. wncsnow
    Thats pretty painful for the foothills but he's usually conservative
  21. wncsnow
    Sueprised nobody has mentioned the hi res NAM. Its not fully into range but looks pretty awful.
  22. wncsnow
    I'm still more worried about temps than downsloping
  23. wncsnow
    Can't wait to see what the EPS shows
  24. wncsnow
    Verbatim, that would be severe power outage, tree breaking snows for WNC
  25. wncsnow
    Actually Haywood/Balsams jackpot this run
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