OSUmetstud

The reason that people are confused about isn't because what fauci said in february. Its a purposeful disinformation campaign that continues. Potus made fun of biden for wearing a mask at the debate just as he was becoming ill with covid. This is Brit Hume from 3 days ago: AAPS is not a science organization. Its a conservative think takes thats questioned the link between hiv and aids. This is Tomi Lauren from today.: There is no interest in the right echo chamber to learn and use masks. They've politically weaponized the whole thing...causing more sick and dead Americans.

Trumpers will be taking about what Dr Fauci said in February of this year for all of eternity. Dr Fauci is hated by the right. Dedicated himself to infectious disease research and medicine for 50 years but because America is so damn anti scientist they've made into him villain. Prominent and elected conservatives have engaged in a misinformation campaign about masks and mitigation efforts from the jump and continue to do it until this day. Its been purposeful and disgusting.

Seasonal models look fairly consistent with Nina climo. Couple things to watch for is how much ridging we can get into AK/Bering and if we can pop some sort of -NAO or at least some strong 50/50 confluence.

Even he didn't know... It just seemed like maybe something to watch. If it's not in the tropics it wouldn't be as simple as strat smoke contributes to +AO given the black biomass is being release into the mid-latitudes.

HM was discussing smoke getting into the lower strat playing a role for this winter. It's a bit different than equitorial volcanism (+AO) given that the smoke is being released into the mid-latitudes and the subtropics.

Yep agreed. Weird that it had a bonafide hurricane with Paulette on the 00z run last night near Bermuda but it has since kinda gone back to a middling tropical storm type low.

UKMET was the best with Laura. I posted the Albany stats in that thread. GFS outperformed ECMWF for Laura, not sure if that's true for the season as a whole though.

Can you post a link? I know it's been struggling with TCG but I would find it a bit hard to believe the routinely best track model is now the worst this season.

I just don't see how methodology like this really holds much weight. It's interesting, historically speaking, but as a meteorologist, and someone who watches the tropics on a regular basis, why would I throw out all the experts who continue to believe this season will be very active.

I wouldn't sell the hurricane seasonal already based on low ACE production so far given the potential.

Preliminary, but 2008-2009 looks like a decent analog for the coming winter, I think.

I think that's fairly conservative, overall, like I'd be surprised if the Baie Verte Peninsula on the north coast there averages less than 300 cm per year.

Rodney Barney ECCC Met in Gander posted this on twitter last year.

Hey, this map is really awful for Atlantic Canada lol. That area from Halifax to south of Yarmouth averages below 200 cm. Interior central and northern Nova Scotia, and northern and eastern NB does not average over 400 cm, the only place that probably would is the "mountains" of central/northern New Brunswick. Saguenay, Quebec, Rimouski, and Gaspe all average under 400 cm. Some of the mountains of Western Newfoundland probably average just over 800 cm.

Spain having big problems again.

You would have to know potential long term effects, which we don't because the disease has only been around for 6 months.

How about Germany?

That's for vaccine research and it hasn't been done because it's unethical. There's enough covid around in the US to get a solid control arm without having to challenge.

Plenty of the other countries economies are doing relatively well that have the virus under control. The US seems to like to have the worst mix of both.

It's ****ing insane, no government or public health expert thinks that's a good or reasonable idea. Good lord. And that's not true, only less in kids.

Swedes are not acting like they normally would before the pandemic...just like other places in the world. You can look at the mobility and open table data.

You posted the inoculation shit here.

This is from their website. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/covid-19.htm#understanding-death-data-quality Certifiers are asked to use their best medical judgment based on the available information and their expertise. When a definitive diagnosis cannot be made, but the circumstances are compelling within a reasonable degree of certainty, certifiers may include the terms “probable” or “presumed” in the cause-of-death statement. Cause of Death and COVID-19 When COVID-19 is reported as a cause of death on the death certificate, it is coded and counted as a death due to COVID-19. COVID-19 should not be reported on the death certificate if it did not cause or contribute to the death.

When did you see these patients and get your M.D?

remember when you suggested that young people should be purposely inoculated? ****ing whackjob.