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OSUmetstud

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OSUmetstud

  1. That's for vaccine research and it hasn't been done because it's unethical. There's enough covid around in the US to get a solid control arm without having to challenge.
  2. Plenty of the other countries economies are doing relatively well that have the virus under control. The US seems to like to have the worst mix of both.
  3. It's ****ing insane, no government or public health expert thinks that's a good or reasonable idea. Good lord. And that's not true, only less in kids.
  4. Swedes are not acting like they normally would before the pandemic...just like other places in the world. You can look at the mobility and open table data.
  5. This is from their website. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/covid-19.htm#understanding-death-data-quality Certifiers are asked to use their best medical judgment based on the available information and their expertise. When a definitive diagnosis cannot be made, but the circumstances are compelling within a reasonable degree of certainty, certifiers may include the terms “probable” or “presumed” in the cause-of-death statement. Cause of Death and COVID-19 When COVID-19 is reported as a cause of death on the death certificate, it is coded and counted as a death due to COVID-19. COVID-19 should not be reported on the death certificate if it did not cause or contribute to the death.
  6. remember when you suggested that young people should be purposely inoculated? ****ing whackjob.
  7. You should go on a public tour of the world and convince everyone to get on with it. Sorry people aren't acting in accordance with your worldview.
  8. I literally posted the CDC regulations above COVID deaths.
  9. To have a communicable disease as third leading cause in death in the US is a huge deal, and I don't believe has been the case since 1918. It will likely end up being the leading cause of death in both NY and NJ this year and potentially other states depending on how things go in the fall. I actually think people care a great deal about it, but the people who don't are get more amplification via social media. If the majority of people didn't care about the disease or didn't take precautions, it would have already gone through the US population with way more deaths than now as a result. You see obvious population level risk aversion over the whole world in both mobility and open table data, which has slowed down the disease spread considerably from its native Ro. https://www.the-scientist.com/news-opinion/no-the-cdc-has-not-quietly-updated-covid-19-death-estimates-67902 Comorbidity does not mean a preexisting condition, so this 94% claim you're making is false. In the case of Covid, many other causes of death can be listed on the death certificate along with COVID. 5 of these listed here are or can be caused by COVID itself. Obviously, many older people do have preexisting conditions. The top comorbidities, or underlying medical conditions in a COVID-19 death include: Influenza and pneumonia Respiratory failure Hypertensive disease Diabetes Vascular and unspecified dementia Cardiac arrest Heart failure Renal failure Intentional and unintentional injury, poisoning and other adverse events
  10. This is from their website. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/covid-19.htm#understanding-death-data-quality Certifiers are asked to use their best medical judgment based on the available information and their expertise. When a definitive diagnosis cannot be made, but the circumstances are compelling within a reasonable degree of certainty, certifiers may include the terms “probable” or “presumed” in the cause-of-death statement. Cause of Death and COVID-19 When COVID-19 is reported as a cause of death on the death certificate, it is coded and counted as a death due to COVID-19. COVID-19 should not be reported on the death certificate if it did not cause or contribute to the death.
  11. I mean its hilarious. We were talking about covid in the usa for the past few days...discussing usa death certificates and ifr estimates. Richard was the one who threw very preliminary worldwide excess deaths at me as some sort of retort but go off.
  12. The cdc standard is that covid contributed to the death actually. Its not just a positive test before death.
  13. Were in the midst of the pandemic. The excess death data is not available from many countries. Flu estimates are done when these data are available.
  14. There's been 2 documented cases. Looks rare so far, so that's good. Also, if you get reinfected, but the reinfection is less severe than the first time because of some acquired T-cell immunity from the first infection, that would be good news, too.
  15. Yeah, that's fair. Does seem interesting how disparate the effects are, even in younger and middle-aged people. Metfan is a younger guy and he had symptoms.
  16. Could be a false positive or you could have just had an asympomatic case. Given where you're from it's more likely to be a true positive than a false positive imo given the prevalence of the infection in downstate NY and the better antibody tests that are available now compared to a few months ago.
  17. They do, but those aren't available yet in many countries. You know it is possible to be anti-lockdown/business closure while being honest about the virus is and isn't, scientifically speaking.
  18. I'm sure that they are accurately counting deaths in India and Sub-Saharan Africa.
  19. We've been talking about the US the whole freaking time. The IFR is ten times higher, it's twice as contagious. The US, because of it being a richer and more developed country will tend to better in counting deaths than poorer countries.
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