OSUmetstud
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Everything posted by OSUmetstud
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Well then just **** it then. Im not sure why I bother.
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Okay. Why is that relevant?
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It seems that the countries are doing reasonably well economically are the ones that have covid more under control. Germany is doing relatively well economically for example.
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I could do live shots like his current one from here half the year.
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Heh. No.
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Its alright. The intensity forecasts are really stochastic. You were spot on until you're not...then you're really wrong. And you did seem to be a negative Nancy about the storm and the environment from the get go...almost like it was personal.
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Cat 5 winds aloft in a cat 4 who would have thought? Maybe they'll mix down!
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Made same post in the other thread at the same time lol.
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Where is vortex95? Disappointed theyre missing all that RI today.
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It is pretty unusual to see a landfalling major hurricane so low down on the list on the media sites.
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My masturbation joke was removed. Don't take it too personally.
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The upper level ridge building over Florida and eastern GOM is not caused by a small TC dissolving a strong upper level trough via latent heat...
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Crazy. Is this the most expensive one in history?
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200700 excess deaths per NYT/CDC through July 25th https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/05/05/us/coronavirus-death-toll-us.html https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm
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They apparently didn't admit many of the 70-80+ year old patients into ICU care...just gave them pain meds and let them die. https://www.wsj.com/articles/coronavirus-is-taking-a-high-toll-on-swedens-elderly-families-blame-the-government-11592479430
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https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2769034 This study, the SK study, and the GA summer camp outbreak aren't particularly favorable for the hope that kids don't transmit well. I think you have to assume that kids transmit just as well as adults as the default when planning for reopening.
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NYS school metrics are based on community transmission. I really wish we ge to the point where we regularly test students but that's the best alternative. You just can't open normally if you're having lots of community transmission.
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I'm pretty sure the current rapid tests (like the Abbott idnow) are the similar ones Michael Mina is talking about in that twitter thread. We dont need the sensitivity of the pcr test for community survaillance and beating down R. The pcr test only outperforms the rapid tests when there's a very little viral RNA.
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How do we know ANYTHING???
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The scientists aren't making up the the sensitivity and specificity of the diagnostic test.
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False negatives are way more common than false positives. False positives are extremely rare and are most likely the result of contamination. https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/north/covid-19-false-positives-1.5555322
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Not sure this is true stebo. Theres a strong push to get more frequent antigen testing off the ground with cheaper paper strip type testing. We are testing a great deal of the people far too late in the disease course for any benefit for contract tracing. On average, the people who are testing positve are no longer infectious so its only serving as a diagnosis, nothing more.
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Asymptomatic vs. symptomatic is subjective. The tolerance for symptoms in people is heterogeneous. It seems though that you can still see changes in the lungs for a lot of these people who aren't felling symptoms.
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It was like 1100. It was the results of the stage 1/2 oxford/azn vaccine. The moderna one last week was stage 1 results and that was 45 people. I'm more hopeful than ever will have a viable vaccine in early 2021.
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Scientist have been talking about needing more funding for emerging disease surveillance for years. The next pandemic was always only a matter of time.
