Tatamy
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Everything posted by Tatamy
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Temps along Fire Island and on the east end have already jumped into the mid to upper 50s this morning.
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Had a quick burst of snow which left a coating. Has now changed back to rain. 33/31
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Light rain mixed with ice pellets here. 40/27
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18z GFS for Black Friday. It will be very interesting to see how this pattern evolves.
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Very true on the elevation factor. MPO in the Poconos at 2000 ft is forecast to get 1-3" along with 0.1 - 0.3" of ice accum.
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Mt. Holly issues a WWA for the Poconos and Sussex Cty in NJ. This will be a prototypical north of Blue Mountain (PA) north and west of I80/I287 (NJ) early season event.
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Freezing Rain potential with the Tuesday / Wednesday event off the 0z NAM
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Erie - Lake effect.
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It might look like something like this from the 12z NAM:
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Very little support from the GEFS on this possible event so far.
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How does the power grid do out there with run of the mill wind gusts?
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Both the 0Z GFS and the 0Z ECMWF are calling for widespread damaging wind gusts up to 50 MPH across the area (includes many inland areas and coastal areas) with the passage of Nicole and the phasing with the Polar jet. Timing on this would be Friday night and Saturday morning for worst impacts. Places along the coast could see gusts closer to 60 mph with the Euro solution.
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There was one moderate snowstorm in the region on 2/12/75.
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OKX totals
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Daily total here up to 2.90”
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Just picked up another 0.50” in the past 15 minutes so I am up to 2.52”
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2.02” on the day.
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Crazy banding with this event.
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Been pouring here during the past couple of hours. Now at 1.04” for the day.
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Models have been mostly focused on two bands of heavier precip with this event. One over eastern PA and the other over at least parts of LI and CT. I am up to 0.37 on the day with the former. 12z Euro looks good for LI and CT with the later.
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The disturbance that will feed into this feature is moving up along the VA/MD coast currently. Interesting to watch the radar and watch this all evolve.
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Rain starting to break out across parts of the area. I have recorded 0.23” at my station at Cherry Grove with the showers moving up from the south from off of the ocean.
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34 with widespread frost here.
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Are you able to get a news media app that will tell you that it will rain or snow or thunder in X minutes and that it will last for () minutes? I get that from the NBC station in Philadelphia and it is a great feature.
