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Everything posted by Tatamy
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The photo below was posted on FB earlier. It was taken on Great South Bay to the north of Fire Island Pines after 5:00 PM. This is looking towards Davis Park.
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48 here. Has not even reached 50 today. 0.54” so far with the event.
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My station at Cherry Grove on FI is still waiting. 1.25” so far with the event.
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You can also see the flow from the SW into the trough from central NJ. Very interesting event that is unfolding here.
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No there are other instances where IVT’s have produced in the city.
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The flooding in the city is being caused by an inverted trough (IVT). In this setup the winds are coming from different (opposing) directions on either side of the trough in the lower levels of the atmosphere. The result is moisture present in the atmosphere is being forced to rise where the trough is setup resulting in the downpours that are being experienced. These features are known for being prolific rain producers and as long as this one remains where it is the problems will continue.
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Let’s hope the LIRR does not get flooded out.
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This was never going to be a big hit for eastern or northeastern PA. FWIW I have two weather stations. One here in eastern PA and the other on Fire Island (Both are Davis stations). There is a 12” difference in the YTD rainfall totals between the two. When we were getting deluged back in the summer those areas nearer to the coast were dry a lot of the time. Now that difference is getting worked off - unfortunately a lot of it in one day.
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0.37” here in eastern PA. 0.88” at my station on Fire Island.
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I guess you were not old enough to remember it with much detail. This was the worst storm to hit LI in the last quarter of the previous century.
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12z is doomsday for NYC… lol
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If you want west pay attention to what the GFS is doing with the following system (Nigel?). It’s very much locked in on a potential east coast threat two weeks from now.
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That westbound outflow boundary has really ignited the atmosphere over NJ and PA. My dry weekend is gone.
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I am hoping for the same here. Especially after the pounding we took Thursday night.
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You guys on the island are taking it on the chin with this pattern. My station on Fire Island has not measured so far this month. Meanwhile storms are firing up in NJ and racing off to the north and west.
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With this one did the trough cut off over the SE or was this a deep meridional trough?
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I am seeing the same thing. This is actually a repeat of what happened yesterday.