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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. 0.60” last night of needed water.
  2. Those drought maps always seem to have a decent lag… like a dry month or two doesn’t seem to change them much. Just like it can rain a foot in two weeks and that thing will come out showing moderate drought still. Im not sure what the indicators are they use, but they seem to be skewed very long term and don’t change fast.
  3. Only if they are below/blue. Not sure he posts ones that show AN, ha.
  4. We all know if we have a deep trough and great pattern in October, everyone would be losing their shit that we are “wasting it” too early. We, as members of this forum, can talk ourselves into worrying about anything when it comes to winter. Warm autumn, cold autumn… we can get to the worrying part in multiple different ways.
  5. To be fair, why do we care any time of year? This is a weather forum haha.
  6. NE and E flow at 850mb? Looks wedged. BTV warmest place in New England during that time?
  7. EPS actually has slightly below 850mb temps on 5-day mean from 11th to 15th. That SE bagginess in the heights must be spoiling it? AIFS also has it along east coast. Sept 14th… warmth struggles to make it east.
  8. I don’t know if you’ve looked recently, it’s not super impressive. There’s some bagginess to the heights along the east coast into SE. Might be more over the top? Look at the 5-day 850mb temps showing it too…
  9. I’ve been a proponent of persistence expectations in summer (humid, all the time)… but August proved persistence wrong in a big way.
  10. I kept thinking it was the first sub-freezing 850s in New England for some reason. But yeah, trough parade continues.
  11. Let’s get some rime ice on the summits. Whats the phrase? Shots across the bow?
  12. Its departures are probably within reason though… that’s really what the official stations are useful for. Comparison to previous years. The temperatures may differ in spots by location, elevation, topography, etc… but the departures are probably comparable.
  13. In the 50s all day up north is pretty chilly for an August day.
  14. Multiple rounds of showers and squalls on the cyclonic flow too. Cold season weather pattern.
  15. About a third of an inch this morning at home. Looks like some convection building now in the Champlain Valley.
  16. Here’s our MTD up here… Find @J.Spin’s relatively drought-proof spot along the Spine/Winnoski Gap in the precip magnet. Joking aside, there are a bunch of PWS in the area over 2.5”+ the closer you get to the Spine. My local spot is 2.51” on the month. @dmcginvt is at 2.83” in Waterbury Center (assuming that’s his site given the PWS is the same name as his handle here). The wild sites are the under 1” up next to Jay Peak.
  17. What’s that 38F min like the next town east of you? Thats probably like 3 degrees away from frost on elevated patio furniture like Alex.
  18. They might sneak a 32F in there. Pretty crazy how it just keeps radiating. We fogged out at 45F and just keep sitting 41-45F in the valley. 42F min at nearby PWS. It’s in the 50s like 500ft overhead lol.
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