powderfreak

Damn you beat me today. I was feeling pretty good with 0.98" earlier to take the NNE lead for this event on here. Passed on the inside lane late in the day. Stuff keeps forming west of you, wonder if you get another strong run here in a bit.

That is one dark sky. I can hear the course horn or siren through the pic lol.

Stuff blowing up around MHT in NH now too. The upper level trough axis seems to be helping get some more storms going.

Whole bunch of stuff seems to be exploding over the ORH Hills... not severe but maybe north of Pike gets a drink. Although that one by FIT is intensifying fast.

Models say we do this again every afternoon through Thursday. Winners and losers with convection and heavy showers, but you just reset, regroup and go at it again tomorrow to see what happens. Then again Tuesday afternoon, and Wednesday afternoon, maybe Thursday afternoon. “An upper level low moving southward from Quebec this evening will become quasi- stationary across New England. This upper level low will result in daily chances for showers and thunderstorms, with the most widespread rain chances occurring during the afternoon and evening hours Monday through Wednesday.”

What a view... looks like the right spot to chill with a relaxing beverage.

That flash flood statement is pretty intense. THIS IS A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR NORWOOD AND SURROUNDING TOWNS! This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CATASTROPHIC EXPECTED RAINFALL...1-2 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

You could whitewater kayak that parking lot.

2.71” in one hour is legit. We get to do it again for the next like 3 afternoons too.

This is a pretty crazy zone that’s pretty much training over itself. Seeing radar estimated 3” rain in Holland unless it’s hail contaminated... and Norwood is putting up a pretty big 2-4.5” rainfall footprint for that amount of water. Pretty large area of 1”+ just south of the Pike. Must sound like WWIII in there, the lightning maps are going nuts.

Yeah looks like my folks might get smoked in N. Woodstock on the state line. Beast mode on that one.

Looks like just constant lightning and training heavy rains. Some big rain totals in there I’m sure.

Active afternoon.

Was wondering where that was relative to you.... it was following 84 pretty good.

Looks like a decent storm core along I-84 in CT, probably a little NE of Kev? The loop has been speckling 60-62dbz along the interstate. Probably a slow afternoon ride through there.

Looks like it’s tapering off with about an inch in the Stratus... very close to overflowing the inner tube but I don’t think it is. Eyeballing 0.95-1.0”. Stowe PWS have some variety but good drink: 1.96” 1.47” 1.16” MVL still raining. 1.01” 0.50”

Just torrential rain. Ponding on the lawn now, good stuff. Solid drink. MVL ASOS with 0.75” in 30 minutes and currently 1/2sm +RN. PWS a quarter mile away from me:

Man I am just missing a drenching like 1-3 miles north. My house is where I’ve put the Stowe marker. It’s pouring but radar would suggest the 1”+ amounts are like three pixels north.

Now that’s beach worthy and not much else you can do about it but find water to sit in.

Wish that included nne. We'll take the rain without losing power. First of many afternoons of storms and rainers.

Like here’s the HRRR... convection rotating through this afternoon. Not everyone gets hit, plenty of dry spots. But if we repeat it again each afternoon until Thursday it will start to fill in those gaps.

Yeah not every afternoon... but a 4-day aggregate means most folks get some water. If next Thursday we look at the rainfall footprint of past 4-5 days, I think that’s a decent aerial coverage. Ive been wrong before, ha. Its definitely the best widespread chance of everyone getting at least some rain over the next 4 days we’ve had in a while.

Man a few dry weeks have done a number on you. The PTSD required or mental gymnastics to look at that prog and just call it “widely scattered convection” is hard to fathom. Last week we had widely scattered convection and the models looked nothing like they do now. There will be numerous areas of showers and storms each afternoon it seems. Best chance of some rainfall in New England in weeks.

Just seeing that now... looks like we’ve got chances every afternoon somewhere in New England. Typical summer time winners or losers based on convection but it should get some water down.

18z GFS is wet. Lights up showers/storms every afternoon for 4 days it seems. It’s definitely over doing the aerial coverage of the QPF but there are daily shower chances and someone could add up some decent rain this week through nickels and dimes.