powderfreak

It might be a concern... but the overall picture is warm to hot and humid relative to normal in the future. The later stages of the operational models show some FROPA's mixed with above normal temperatures. It might not be a record torch, but it'll be uncomfortable for a period of time here.

A lone ranger this afternoon... heavy rain and lightning just east of the Worcester Range on the horizon. Stowe Mountain Club course in the foreground, fairway at 2,000ft.

Ha, that's a pretty convincing graphic.

I have friends that have skied it in August. It was a weird end of the season... on one hand, there was very cold weather and pretty decent snows from April through mid-May. Then there was that obscene record heat like the 3rd week of May, but there were also some very cold shots relatively speaking in there too... we'd go from highs in the 90s to highs in the 50s and then back the other way. That usually meant the high ground was in the 30s or even sub-freezing during those cold shots, but they'd also be 65-85F during the hot times. To be honest, the piles of snow this year and huge drifts seemed to last just as normal despite the high heat times. There are just so many factors that go into it. I also think we managed to "average" normal for a long time despite the heat because of the rebound cool shots...it was weird how it evened out until recently when it's flipped decidedly warmer than normal in the means.

Gotcha, ok that’s what I was thinking but was wondering if there was more of a relationship between actual tornadoes and SSTs... but its more the relationship between convection and the marine layer. Can’t have tors if you don’t get convection and strong updrafts.

Purely curious, how do warm SST’s promote Tors? They don’t hamper convection like cooler SSTs? Anyone can answer, not directed specifically at Kev.

Ha yeah I think our average mins are in that range, 55-58F for warmest climo. The mins usually hit the afternoon mixed out dews around here.

So funny the bouncing between drought concerns and then mushroom concerns. Folks praying for rain, then we want hot and dry

Yup plenty of eye opening moments into thought processes. Open mind and being exposed to different takes is the way to learn though. The number of browsers in the sub forum decreased like 75% in the evening now, ha.

Starting off July with a nice +5.5 up here for the first 6 days and it only looks to get hotter. Probably crush ASOS records for 90F days from here to BML in the fake temperature zones that mix and then decouple well.

Sucked you had those cool days. Hope you get your heat.

What’s all this install talk when it’s 76F inside? Maybe direct sun? Thats warmer than inside my place and I really don’t run our A/C at all and have been ripping off mid-80s daily. But we do close the shades/curtains when we leave for the day.

Ha, I laugh because you and Ginxy going back and forth in the summer is always funny. Has nothing to do with actual ground conditions. Just the constant back and forth for the past decade. I figured your 70F was a Davis dew. The ASOS don’t look much lower though.

ALB at 25% RH... 86/46.

83/49 type stuff up north, man this is the weather to lock in. Plenty hot enough to swim but low dews so chilling in the shade actually feels like shade.

Yeah Teterboro Airport pulled 2.80” last hour, not bad. I could see 2-4” over a decent area, hard to say with convective rain, one neighborhood could go huge.

6.0” radar spots lol?

We got crushed in one of those... like a couple feet of heavy dense QPF rich snow. It snuck up too, all the sudden it was like 1.5-2.5” QPF on models. Mansfield depth went from 60” to 100” towards the end of February, so something big happened in there. I do remember one morning showing up to the mountain and finding 14” at 5:30am since the 4pm clearing the day before in the base area and being like, huh that produced. Think we added another foot during the day.

I mean if you can’t plan on the beach in the summer, and need to book a NNE lake vacation, when can you beach?

We prepare for heat: Highs Thursday and Friday will be in the upper 80s to mid 90s. With dewpoints in the upper 60s to low 70s, apparent temperatures will approach the mid to upper 90s in portions of the Saint Lawrence and Champlain Valleys, and heat advisories may be needed.

Up here we were 40s and 50s for dews the past couple days. BTV was 83/46 yesterday for a dry heat. Low of 52F last night.

Will you be able to be there most of the winter? It’ll be great to have another poster in the NW flow zone.

Time to talk about weather on a weather forum?

The town's fireworks were pretty sweet here in Stowe... a solid 10+ minute event. They shoot them off from the fields right next to us. American flag red, white and blue.

72/57 perfect evening.