powderfreak

EPS 5-day mean next week... Wed/Thur look the warmest after a cool start to the week.

58F at 3:45pm... another lovely June day with intermittent showers and drizzle.

I don’t have recollections of that one. Given the summer date, I was likely in Woodstock, CT for that... back then I don’t even think we had TV there, lol. Cable company didn’t lay wire until a few years later.

Definitely bucket list. I remember 1998 living near ALB but I don’t think that was a derecho, I think my memory of shit hitting the fan is the May 1998 tornado and wind outbreak. That’s the only storm I remember ever fleeing into the basement as trees started snapping in the backyard. But I want to experience the lead up and tracking of a legit 60-90mph derecho event right through New England.

Up to 61F at almost noon. Cooler than I thought it’d be today.

Got up to 64F today... a step better than yesterday’s 58F.

You have been consistent in that message for sure. I certainly thought it would roll over more into the Northeast, in a delayed but not denied style. But now it certainly looks like we rip a quick plume in late week before it just gets crushed into early next week.

I was thinking sneaky in terms of no one talking about it. DIT so concerned with the 8-11th, he may get his hot day(s) well before that.

Friday looks like it could be a sneaky torch day... pretty good above normal plume at 850mb fires in from the SW.

Fog saved us today... been holding at 39F since midnight with 1/4sm vis.

What a month we just finished. May 2020 will be hard to top for variety. From BTV’s summary: “We had a new record high temperature for the month of May at BTV and MPV on May 27th. We set a record for the highest minimum temperature at BTV on May 27th & 28th, the low was 72. Let's not forget that we had our second latest measurable snowfall on May 9th as well.“

Been pretty consistent in showing a couple day cool down around the 7/8th and then the top of heat comes up over the top for a couple days of big heat, then another cool shot comes in. This pattern looks familiar of the highest anomalies riding up into Canada and NNE... Might be a pattern developing there. Hottest temps aloft again over the NNE Mtns there... no relief in the mountains, ha.

Crazy... got some moisture coming in on NW flow that should be snow for the picnic tables. Precip even looks like winter on radar, smoothed vs. convective entering N.NY.

The same models that showed heat not on the 8th but on the 11th? They are pretty decent.

34F this morning. SLK with 26F off that 93F last week.

38/34 Temp drop has slowed down with clouds. Some moisture moving in.

Might be about 800 vertical feet? Now there's a series of chutes/slide paths in this zone. I counted about a half dozen different swaths cleared. When I first heard about it, I assumed it was the other side of the road as there are south facing cliffs there that are so much closer to the road (shadows in this satellite image). You can see evidence of some past ones to the south too... but I think this was the biggest rock slide in quite some time, at least since I came up here to UVM back in the early 2000s there's been nothing remotely close to this. They do highly suspect the weather playing a big role... before the record heat, there was still snow high up there and water inside the rocks was almost certainly still frozen solid. Then it hits 85F rapidly before dropping back to freezing this morning with a period of heavy rain yesterday and the day before with thunderstorms. I'm no geologist but the idea seems to make sense that rapid temperature swings could do that, like frost heaves in our roadways.

A little dusting of snow up high this afternoon.

I just went to investigate the rock slide on Mount Mansfield that hit RT 108 in the Notch and all I can say is holy f'in sh*t. I'll try to post some photos but two rocks hit the road (just went straight through the pavement and into the ground a couple feet) and about a half dozen others carved out swaths through the forest...snapping trees and leaving divots in the ground up to 5 feet deep and the size of garages. That must've been terrifying... eye witnesses said it sounded like F-18s were flying through the Notch. The power of that is unbelievable up in person. A half dozen new slide paths were just created for skiing. I'm no geologist but the theory would be the very massive temperature swings this month. The ground wasn't even thawed up there when setting record all-time max temps and then it poured rain and went down to freezing... then the hillside gave way.

Pretty good snow shower for the mountains ripped through Mansfield and is now hitting Bolton. Can see the phase change in the visibility up high. And legit snowing pretty good on the Bolton Valley Vista Peak cam:

SLK bouncing around between 43-45F all afternoon after setting the hottest temp for that ASOS in the last week, ha. We just had some brief graupel mixed with rain down here. Temp has fallen to 46F at my place. Mountain is seeing some snow... can see the visibility change up high where the shower changes to snow along the ridgeline.

Maybe it’s supply, but I do subscribe to some of what Kevin talks about... history would say parts of that ridge make it to us at some point. Maybe they are brief interludes before getting beaten back west again, but my money would be on it getting here at some point. Any time those lower heights in the Maritimes weaken, that ridge will try to roll in here...maybe over the top? But I find it hard to believe those lower heights fight off that ridge all summer.

You may be right, I just looked at our climo normals and the crazy few days of 85-95F heat skewed my mind as to what is climo right now. Our average max temp is only 70F... I was thinking it was upper 70s already lol...turns out lower 70s is above normal for first week of June.

Dusting of white in the high terrain from a friend.