powderfreak

It’s been a topic of conversation up here. The flash floods and larger river flooding has been a lot more frequent than anyone can remember. A couple widespread flooding events have set all-time river levels across a large chuck of real estate in recent years. On top of that there has been a propensity for locally high-end destructive flash flood events in many New England towns. The warm departures have consequences, if you could call it that. Naturally more heat and moisture (higher temps and dews) in the means will lead to more precipitation. And more acute, tropical style rainfall. We can’t keep pumping 70F sfc dews into the mountains, add synoptic lift with the low level orographics as the low level jet gets excited… and expect any different outcome than torrential rain somewhere in New England. The departures the past 10 years have been healthy. It has not been a gradual rise. It’s accelerated and has produced numerous acute rainfall events across New England.

This stuff is pretty nuts. North Hollow Road in Stowe. This is such a small waterway that just got smoked with torrential rainfall. Normally it’s barely got water in it, a trickle.

From wife’s best friend's house… they had high and swift water moving through their backyard where the true creek is located (usually like a couple feet across type creek). But it was so overwhelmed with water, it had jumped the bank upstream and raged down the road. Local stations maxed at around 5-6”/hr rainfall rates… and some spots had as much as 2-3” in a very short period of time. Also happened after several days of good rains primed the environment for maximizing run-off. Bailing off the island with deep swift water behind the house, and a road cut flowing in the front. With more rain moving in at the time.

Here we go again. Torrential rain at a 2.50”/hr rate. Gonna push 3” on the day here shortly.

We do flash flooding well. Going to Moss Glens Falls in Stowe.

2.28” today including the morning round.

Holy crap at that rain.

Dews went from 61F to 68F at MVL ASOS after the warm front. Getting some juice in here now.

Think the front is through here. Ceilings just lifted over 1,000ft up the mountain rapidly with some clearing and it’s noticeably more humid/warm than it was just a half hour ago.

Its 85/73 at DDH… that seems warm and juicy.

Another 0.46” rain this morning in the low 60s. Great weekend, yikes.

I think I’d like to be on an axis of NW CT through C MA and especially in S NH to adjacent SW ME between 18-00z tomorrow. Warmth and moisture surging ahead of height falls, prime timing, and less earlier clouds/precip limiting instability (compared to areas N/NW)… good swath to watch there through C NE. Area of concern is just SE of these radar echoes… where things would blow up.

Thats a lot of white. The two that have smoked my dog in her life were largely black with a narrow white stripe down them.

Cool graphical look at how wild that 96/80 max/min was at BTV compared to the record books. Red dot is Wednesday’s temps compared to the data set going back to 1883. The purple dot next to it is 7/2/2018 when it was 97/80.

Another half inch drink late last night and this morning. We've had around 2" the past couple days.

We TOR tomorrow?

Before this heater we were seeing dews of 30s and 40s for a stretch. 61F to me is still humid. Pretty wild it was like 36F at 5am before this heater, then it was 80F at 5am during it.

73/61. Only the last few days can make a dew of 61F feel dry.

Was April the only month sort of like normal in the past like 8 months? Just the baseline right now seems so high. Not sure what needs to change but I’d put my money on high minimums at the very least each summer now… those overnight temps really pump the departures each summer now.

I don’t think it’s much of a stretch. I’d bet top 5 is likely most years now. At least through high minimums.

We got lucky with a nice soak here along the river and Stowe CC. One final round moving through, might get to 1.5”? A couple cells maxed out overhead, maybe feeding on the warmth/moisture pooling in the valley.

Just barely over an inch as the stratus is slightly over flowing. We needed it. Looks like we may have one more round to go.

Even had some damage in our backyard, our tree but landed in the neighboring HOA. Still think it’s our problem though, ha. These White Pines love coming down.

Some Stowe/Morrisville damage.

Down near you at the Honda dealership…