powderfreak

I would like to experience an 86F Td at some point in my life… for like an hour or so.

Hoping the GFS is more right and it keeps sinking southward.

Yeah we got down to 64F last night and the dews are down about 5F from yesterday so far today. But instead of sauna it’s now just humid.

Won’t lie, it was something to feel. Took a good 45 minute walk with the wife and dog along the Quiet Path (no bikes, all dogs allowed off leash, along the river)… it was a literal sauna out in the valley cornfields along the waterway. The wet ground, standing water in areas (forest and fields), and soil soaked deep just pumps the low level moisture levels. It was a sauna outside today.

84/72 is pretty gross up here.

18” here since April 1st. Just over 10” since June 1st.

Another 0.75” last night to keep the mushrooms happy.

That has to be leading to acute flash flooding. That’s insane, road washouts? That’s Armageddon status in New England. 5+ rainfall in short order.

Beer. No way you are sober right now . Friday night in the summer, it’s the time to let it loose.

Yeah, it bothers me too. So much that I’ll take the extra step to change the link to Twitter.com in my phone’s Notes and then copy/paste to get them to show up. MVL hit 90F up here it looks like. Mixed out with slightly lower dews (64-65F) than down south but got a couple extra degrees on the high as a trade off.

It came through as a link. Did you see the tweet on your post?

Look at your link. The x.com after https. I tried to change Ken’s in the quote but it didnt work in the quoted. I think you need to change it before you paste the link in. Like if I copy that and put it in Notes, change it to Twitter.com, copy and paste that in here then it’ll embed. It has to do with the X.com vs Twitter.com.

Replace the x.com with Twitter.com.

True, I wouldn’t think it’d be more than 10”, including ZR/IP.

Wasn’t a chunk of that snow while yours was rain?

It is hot outside. Hotter than I was expecting.

You may not like it here much then either…. Morch, Torchtober, Mowvember, etc.

Low 80s and dews as low as 45F today felt real nice.

I’m jealous of the dog every day. Free loader gets to either hike, wander the mountains, swim in the river, or just sleep all day on a comfy couch. Never has to worry about paying bills or where the next meal is coming from… I want to come back as a dog in my next life.

I have no idea but it’s definitely the last here. I’ve been asking around, and am fairly certain it’s the last patch in Vermont. Killington’s Superstar has been gone for a couple weeks and Jay Peak had covered snow in hay to get it to the solstice for a rail jam, but they pushed it out and melted immediately.

Last patch of snow on the mountain survived until July 1st… but is just hours away from finally ending the winter season. Survived June despite a heatwave and 10” of rain this month. Dog got her July roll in the snow.

It’s 81/59 and partly to mostly sunny at BDL at like noon. If that’s “a mess”…. lol.

I do think that if I’m in a Midwest NOAA office, and I know that every time a strong storm happens in the northeast that it is amplified in the media. A couple EF-0s in the population corridor garner as much (if not more) attention nationally as an EF-4 in the cornfields. I could see where this media focus (due to population) may lead to “enhanced” scrutiny in the northeast. Over-warning is definitely a thing for our region.

I guess my question is when do they look at it like “damn, we said slight risk and that forecast was wrong because it should’ve been enhanced”? Isn't the forecast criteria just probabilities anyway? While verification is always going to be very black and white. Severe either happened or it didn’t. I feel like the forecast vs verification is almost like looking at it two different ways. Forecasting is probabilities (30% chance of severe wind within X miles) while verification is binary (either happened or didn’t). I’m curious how they grade the different risks (probabilities).

Take all enhanced risk with caution for sure in the NE. Big events don’t grow on trees and we’ve seen two enhanced in like a week. Classic cover your ass over warn?