powderfreak

Honestly if it’s going to be cloudy, breezy and miserably cold it might as well snow. But it certainly doesn’t sting at all to miss snow this time of year....just the alternative weather (cold, gray) I think is bad enough that seeing some snow might improve it. Anything that falls is gone in a flash this time of year.

Haha trying to drum up some discussion. Looked like exactly what a lot of this forum would want to see as far as trends. Woodstock/Union CT jack there.

Not the trend we were looking for...

It goes back a long way. I think even on WWBB before EUSWX and AMWX back in 2003/2004/2005, Messenger always sniffed out those SE ticks as storms approached. He’d be comparing buoy data and SFC pressure with the RUC and showing all of us interior folks how the low was already 40 miles east of where it was supposed to be, lol. He was amazing to read though as back then things weren’t as relaxed (others might call it off-topic banter) as it is now.... you didn’t post unless you really had a good analysis or observation to make and Messenger was always on those low tracks when they approached New England.

12z EPS certainly more robust up here on the Northern tier than the OP.

It happens. I’ve got video of it snowing at 3000ft less than a week away from the solstice. No doubt the Bigelows further NW could do.

The QPF panels are pretty cool, like zero precip anywhere and then bam like 15-18z it explodes to light QPF over all of the Northeast as daytime heating and ULL interact.

Let’s hope for some banding further north than expected? The Euro run is frigid. Even with the lack of QPF up here it wants MVL to be below freezing while snowing. Even that 0.3-0.4” QPF would get us decent snow at those temps. Eventually gets us to 28F by morning.

I was surprised how close we missed accumulating snow. Even at 1,000-1,300ft there’s a coating of snow that’s surviving through 3pm in May. We missed it at home by like 250-400ft.

You don’t get this excited over snow in mid winter but now when it’s supposed to be severe season in May you’re getting excited for snow?

Nothing like only clearing the 40F mark at 1pm on Cinco de Mayo.

Did you get accumulating this morning? Never saw more than an icy trace on the mulch beds here. There were a few half inch reports over by Cabot and in Greensboro at Hill Farmstead Brewery, ha.

It has helped a lot IMO. It’s also not grooming the slopes every night. Groomers are big heavy machines that “open up the snowpack”.... they till through those ice layers that protect the pack.

Some wet flakes flying this morning. Even slushy whitening on some surfaces. 35F

Yeah it's all just fodder at this point... true, I didn't notice the margins there on the coast but to have the two major operation models showing accumulating snow in a large swath of interior CNE to NNE on May 10th is pretty crazy.

EURO was pretty decent too for that same system. Crazy to see such a cold low going up the coastline.

Well that warmth was fun while it lasted. 43F here now and snow falling on the web cams above 2000ft. Mid/upper 30s with snow showers in the Adirondacks where the cold is a bit deeper. Windows and doors wide open until 9pm last night felt like early summer, and now the heat has kicked back on.

You’re trying too hard again.

Chilly upslope rain showers now... that small droplet sheet rain as showers move through.

Yeah, winds went NW up here 11 hours ago but it's just now starting to drop. Down to 48F. Stayed pretty mild last night. Jealous of you guys with another day of A+ weather.

Do we wake up tomorrow to some flakes flying or a wet coating on mulch/rooftops tomorrow morning from here to @alex? Some models are showing just enough of an upslope response on CAA late tonight with surface temps in the low 30s that there could be some -SHSN flying in NNE tomorrow morning. Tonight... Cloudy with a chance of rain showers. A chance of snow showers after midnight. Snow accumulation a dusting to 2 inches possible. Lows in the lower 30s. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.

Love that spring fresh green.

This is like mountain town weather out west but for 4 months straight.

(Opening up winter playbook, turning to page 6) Its right where we want it. Day 7 progs are never right so it’s good the models aren’t showing it. (Turns to page 8 in playbook) Its a classic case of the models seeing a snowstorm at day 8-10 but losing it in the middle range. Expect it to come back around 4 days out.

73/37 A+ Now we just need some leaves.