powderfreak

Ha I'm with you. I've been on the +1 train for a while but Will has always been able to show that as a wrong assumption with BTV data, but their climo definitely probably favors cold in the valley. Maybe the difference is we tend to "jackpot" more in a +1 to +2 or something regime because we are on the gradient line.... maybe it's snowier on the whole in a colder regime? But I still think we have a better chance of being in the sweet spot of storms in a bit warmer pattern.... ie last winter. But last winter's overall snowfall wasn't great, but we jacked in quite a few storms, haha. Even got a couple CCBs which seem rare up here. It probably has more to do with a jackpot or sweet spot of individual storms vs. overall seasonal snowfall total.

My college girlfriend was from Boxford... I remember spending a bunch of time there over 3 years. They got absolutely pummeled in a few storms around 2005 time frame. It seemed like every single big storm the Topsfield/Danvers/Boxford/Ipswich was 24-36" for a time there from like 2003-2005.

Jerry can buy up next to the Kellogg mansion at 1,900ft in elevation in Stowe. This shot from two evenings ago that I took just happened to have that house in it. High on the left shoulder is what looks like a hotel to most people (they always ask what hotel that is) but it's really an 18,000 square foot monstrosity known as the Kellogg mansion, owned by those who got rich off cereal and snack food. Phin made a great choice in Randolph as a home like his would've cost him 3x that amount here. The only reason I can afford such a central location in the center of restaurants/bars/recreation path, on the river right on Mountain Road is because we got in at 2011... right after the recession and housing bubble burst. We got in during some of the lowest real estate prices the town of Stowe has seen in decades. Around that time, getting a mortgage on a 1,300 square foot townhome was about the same cost as paying rent so it was a no-brainer. Since then the value has rebounded an incredible 30-40% for this central location. Now with COVID, the real estate agents around here are talking like it's similar to post-9/11 with an ever increasing demand of folks looking to leave the city or get a place away from the city. The next couple years of real estate will be interesting given the economic repercussions of COVID, but countered with a demand to leave the city.

Put that map next to the one from ALY and that is probably one of the more underrated storms ever in the northeast, haha. The rest of the winter will forever over-shadow that event.... but 18”+ from the Boston suburbs all the way past ALB into the Mohawk Valley is big. Also looks like the lower elevations of CT River Valley did well (20s near Springfield) and Hudson River Valley got crushed with 20-26” in the ALB area.... rare to see a long duration storm like that not screw the valleys. But again I think the rest of the winter will over-shadow that storm in the memory banks.

Looking more and more like winter in NE CT. Any good weenie would wonder why there's no snow on the roof though. The ground cover actually isn't that bad.

My parents said they are setting up for fake winter in Woodstock, CT.... they are filming some Hallmark movie at various locations around town and there are several buildings/outdoor spaces getting prepped to fake winter. It's supposed to take place during December and Christmas time. The leaves on the trees must make that tough. Must be brutal filming a movie wearing winter clothing outside a house when the dew point goes back over 70F in a few days.

I really forgotten how big that storm was. That's a legit large scale zone of counties with widespread 18-28". That's no isolated deform band jack or something... that's a large chunk of terrain buried under 18"+.

In all the years we’ve known Jerry, how often does he talk about going swimming? lol He might be ok without numerous water activities.

I actually started missing the COVID thread lately. The discussion certainty included some great info.

When the tropical weather breaks up... that was a textbook hazy, hot and humid stretch.

Yeah I'm inclined to believe any authentic photos like that in New England, no matter when they were taken, would be known and talked. No way that's an authentic photo of one locally in this region... your property would be crawling with Wardens, wildlife biologists, study groups, etc trying to find foot prints or scat to analyze. It would be a very big deal. Also the fact that the photo isn't relevant to this time period (I mean that's full on stick-season, but probably late winter as the leaves on the ground have no color)... the vegetation could be far NNE (more likely Quebec) but it also could be western North America for sure.

If those windows south anywhere near south, you must roast in there during the day? That unit looks a bit small for that space but I also like Ginxy’s advice. I’d have a fan going in the loft. My parents have a loft/open area like that and they run a ceiling fan 24/7 to clear out the eaves. That unit looks like it’s fighting larger space and a lot of heating from those windows.

Yes! That's just what I was thinking... I mean you pop a big one to lead off the winter, you expect to be well on your way to a memorable winter total. I mean what a crush job... the swath of 18"+. It was 22-25.7" for reports in my childhood town/Delmar to the immediate SW of ALB.

That was a high-end event in some spot. My folks and childhood home near ALB got crushed. I know it was a more narrow swath from NE Mass/S NH westward through eastern NY and the Catskills, but this type of snowstorm in the Hudson Valley in the first couple days of December is solid. The grill is just totally gone. It does suck that it is remembered by those areas not as a huge storm, but it'll be overshadowed by the poor winter that followed. When you get that type of snowfall to start December, you dream of gold I'm sure. Big starts are fun, but can lead to disappointment?

Our resident bear just went running through the yard again, looks like an adolescent in daylight. Such a spaz.

Swimming spots are incredibly busy right now... it's nice to see folks getting outside and enjoying the heat in NNE. Hiking trails were as busy as I've ever seen them prior to the high dews the past few days. Folks heading outdoors even more than normal this summer so far, in a place where folks go to get outside. Thanks COVID. Only the high dews deter them only to the swimming holes though.

Said they’d leave something on the porch, I’d rather IPA over champagne. I couldn’t stay till they got their support vehicles.

COVID cancelled the massive Stoweflake Balloon Festival here this year, but they still launched some balloons for the locals to watch from our backyards. This one just missed coming in our living room a few minutes ago and made a smooth landing in the backyard.

Now that’s a rockslide... awesome shots, thanks for sharing.

You’ve gotten hit with some big rainer storms this summer! I do think there’s something with the Winooski Valley and convergence. Storms and squalls like to split the gap.

Probably some tough driving on I-89 between BTV and Waterbury with 1.0-2.5” of rain estimated in short duration there.

Looks like Richmond/Jonesville got smoked with rain... lots of PWS in there around 2.0”. Looks like you are getting in on that training “tail” of the storm going down I-89. I’ve got around 0.4” up here.

You look to take a good hit. Pouring here with some decent wind. Best wind looks south of I-89... like Duxbury heading for Moretown.

We got crushed in one of those... like a couple feet of heavy dense QPF rich snow. It snuck up too, all the sudden it was like 1.5-2.5” QPF on models. Mansfield depth went from 60” to 100” towards the end of February, so something big happened in there. I do remember one morning showing up to the mountain and finding 14” at 5:30am since the 4pm clearing the day before in the base area and being like, huh that produced. Think we added another foot during the day.

Will you be able to be there most of the winter? It’ll be great to have another poster in the NW flow zone.