powderfreak

That 6z EURO and the early 12z HRRR and meso guidance is pretty meager everywhere. Just never gets the strong conveyor belts going all the sudden.

The dynamic cooling shown is pretty impressive. The NAM has it like 50F in northern Maine while its ripping snow in central New England.

Leave the Corolla up on the cinder blocks and use the tires as planters?

BTV’s advisory seems to make sense... mostly for the mid-slope elevations of 1,000-2,000 feet. ..WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO 11 AM EDT MONDAY... * WHAT...Wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 6 inches above 1000 feet and 2 inches or less below 1000 feet.

Home beautification.

Relative dud’s for Ray are 8-12 inchers. Go big or go home.

It is magical out, ha. BTV is 59F with a dew of 6F... 12% RH. A much more moist 17% here at 58/14. No greenery at all, just paper dry forests.

Beauty out. 56/15 right now... full sun and 20% RH, that's how life should be, ha.

Went for a walk up into the Notch on the closed RT 108.... same road I live off of, just in a totally different world, ha. Snow on the road started right at 1,500ft but what was interesting is the snow at that elevation was only in the bottom of the valley with slopes on both sides fairly snow free for several hundred vertical feet. Can tell the cold pools in the bottom of the valley where the road is and leads to longer preservation. Once up a little higher the snow was in the valley around the road and on the north facing slopes. South facing slopes are burned out by sun up to like 3,000ft. The other cool part was the absolute thunderous crashes of ice falling off the Notch walls. It was crazy. Every few minutes you'd hear another loud boom and crash echoing off the walls. Sunshine and 50F temps were doing a number on the ice that had formed during the past stretch of cold/snowy weather. I've got a video of the sound but can't post it, too big. It was enough to scare the dog at times. Extremely loud. At one point higher on the road we actually saw ice chunks about the size of bowling balls ripping through the woods all the way to the road. The nose was pretty eerie. Larger chunks would die pretty quickly on impact but then these bowling balls of blue ice would skip down the hillside towards the road. Some of the larger chunks that would break off on the south side (not pictured) were refrigerator-sized, it that would shatter on impact into a lot of small rocks of ice.

Extended REGGIE is a lot like the 18z EPS probabilities.... with the exception of the BOS suburbs.

Killington to Eastport axis. Pretty much a straight line shot.

What a beautiful day... full sun and 50s. RT 108 in the Notch isn't going to be opening any time soon. We just walked the road from Stowe (you can see some guardrails up there) and it's still snow covered starting at 1,500ft closure gate and just gets deeper as you go up.

Yeah, you'd have to think the bigger bust potential is on that southern side rather than the northern side of those probabilities. Like Hubb vs. up in this area. Despite similar probs it seems like it would be easier for ORH hills area to get 6"+ than my neck of the woods.

Wouldn't have to go anywhere near that far, lol.

Said just like the guy at the party who just can't let himself have some fun but instead talks nonstop about how bad of a hangover everyone will have in the morning .

I think this is the most reasonable approach so far... EPS probs of 6"+ at this point. Southern/central Greens, Monadnocks, and Whites into western Maine.

That is a lot of QPF in Central New England... Anyone over 1,500ft is likely all snow there too.

I’d toss C.VT into that too. 2kft around Killington probably gets 18” lol.

Yeah if all things were equal the elevations would do better... but both would need to see the same temp profile, same lift, precip rates, etc.

More snow for Alex, ha.

EPS

Snowy. Hour 90.

How would that differ in winter?

What? I think it’s definitely the other way around just because most snow maps are run off like 925-850 layer. Thats why it’ll punch out 6” with 2M temps of like 35-36F.... because 925mb is 0C.

That is insane. My snow map was a bit early, still going in ORH hills.