powderfreak

With the snow maps, I think anything shown less than 6" is a wash, maybe a coating to 2". There's a lot of QPF over 24-36 hours, anything under 6" probably loses most of it to low ratios, white rain, etc. But they do show the max zones that could get hit with plowable snowfall.

lol... can't avoid the Herpes, even straight to the coast.

Some potent dynamics with this one.

Yeah we want this to tick anyway possible further NW later in the track. I like the chances with the upslope to get low snow levels as the atmosphere is considerably colder on that NW flow with -2C at 925mb. It looks like a much snowier sounding than the synoptic system here. Also diurnal coldest time of day. Might be able to grab a couple inches at home.

Winter Storm Watch issued here. That 12z Euro was a pretty substantial upslope event. Probably 1-2” slop at home and 9” in the parking lot at 1500ft lol.

Wave after wave approaching the east coast from the SE, lol.

lol I do think Jay Peak gets destroyed on the upslope. Might be able to sneak it far enough south to Mansfield too.

GGEM goes with a massive cyclonic upslope event.

Sugarloaf crushed on the GFS. Good backside upslope signal up and down the Greens and in the NW Adirondacks on the backside.

lol at the NAM. Nice upslope dong for Mitchy too.

18z ECM. We are waiting on the backside upslope over this way, looks colder too with a better chance for some snow to get to the valley bottom at 700ft. Smokes Jay Peak pretty good on the NW flow.

That's pretty much what I think could happen here. Maybe some white rain at times in the valley. The backside could have an upslope response that looks colder, so we'll have to see what transpires there.

Probably more than that, they got 50" alone in this one run.

Snowy GFS run this morning.... one of the bigger total snow maps of the season in April. Bombs galore.

Speaking of the dry air.... red flag conditions it seems. A friend posted this from I-690 around Syracuse, NY where a huge brush fire is raging right next to the interstate. Someone probably tossed a cig butt or something.

Holy shit! You aren't kidding. Probably makes sense with the NW flow, giving just a little extra large scale compressional heating/drying in that corridor. 8% is like Arizona desert stuff.

53/13 at the ASOS. Thats some dry air.

At least up this way it looks pretty seasonably chilly, maybe average a tick below? Mins will be above normal with clouds/precip while maxes will be below normal with clouds/precip, ha. Lower daily ranges than average on the MOS MEX. One thing I don't like, is the sky cover over the next 7 days has 14 fields (two a day) and 12 of them are OV for overcast with 2 PCs. Not a lot of sun coming up.

Sounds about right for your area. Looks like BDL average middle of next week is something like 58/36? Looks like 40s when its raining and 50s when its not on the MOS guidance. Take about 8-10F off that you said this winter for Tolland?

Ha yeah I got excited when I thought the Euro was Dews approved.

Yeah that’s not great for sure.

Crystal clear day finally with full sunshine. Sort of has an October air mass feel though.... trying to warm up but really dry. Currently 48/15 with 24% RH. That 15F dew point and a NW breeze is doing its best to try and not make it feel as warm outside as the sun would let you believe.

What was your seasonal total relative to normal? I know RT 2 further west wasn't all that far from normal.... I seem to remember Hippy being one storm from normal but he's way west.

Holy crap. I thought you were posting a historical storm total... like some hand drawn snowstorm from 1898. Not the entire seasonal total.

When Phin was talking Montgomery, I saw there's a roughly 30-acre weenie parcel that straddles the Montgomery/Richford town line and on Topo maps it almost looks like you could ski off the backside of Jay Peak all the way to the property if you had some decent backcountry skills. This spot would get absolutely destroyed for snow. It's not far enough west by any measure to get easterly flow downslope, if anything you're probably just upsloping from all wind directions due to the terrain in the area....there isn't enough room for large scale sinking air from any direction. Backside of every low pressure system you'd just get crushed as the winds turn NNW... even rainers would end pretty snowy. I've got a couple FB friends who live up in Montgomery (Jay skiers) and when they post shots outside their houses it is a completely different animal than down here. Like getting 1" of rain then 4" of paste on the side of the trees when the cold front comes through. That spot would be an extreme snow spot and seeing as most nor'easters end with cyclonic flow, the Richford Trained Spotter is almost always at the top of the Vermont snowfall list. You'd see a lot of storms where you are top of the list in that spot. That might be one of the snowiest plots for land on sale right now in the State. Every time in the winter the models have that light green 0.01" QPF blob sitting over you it's snowing. ...FRANKLIN COUNTY... 1 NW RICHFORD 38.4 939 AM 3/16 TRAINED SPOTTER GEORGIA CENTER 35.5 1154 PM 3/15 PUBLIC BAKERSFIELD 34.0 900 PM 3/15 PUBLIC FAIRFAX 30.0 103 PM 3/15 PUBLIC