powderfreak

Man a few dry weeks have done a number on you. The PTSD required or mental gymnastics to look at that prog and just call it “widely scattered convection” is hard to fathom. Last week we had widely scattered convection and the models looked nothing like they do now. There will be numerous areas of showers and storms each afternoon it seems. Best chance of some rainfall in New England in weeks.

Just seeing that now... looks like we’ve got chances every afternoon somewhere in New England. Typical summer time winners or losers based on convection but it should get some water down.

18z GFS is wet. Lights up showers/storms every afternoon for 4 days it seems. It’s definitely over doing the aerial coverage of the QPF but there are daily shower chances and someone could add up some decent rain this week through nickels and dimes.

I mean it’s just a snapshot of the Euro run verbatim. Just because it’s graphical doesn’t mean its not what the model says. I totally get if you think the Euro just isn’t correct on both temps and precip, but that chart isn’t the reason it’s wrong lol.

Yeah Wunderground PWS have 0.5-0.6” scattered about but narrow axis from like BGM all the way across spots of NCT and up to Pike. Lollipops among the general shield.

Just north of DIT looks to be a bunch of 0.50< amounts... like Stafford Springs, Somers, Crystal Lake, up towards Union.

Looks about what was speculated last night. A swath of 0.30-0.60”.

No big heat and no drought. Bet that'll get tossed.

Newport, VT doesn’t seem like Pickles’ jam if his options were swanky Stowe Mtn Lodge or swanky Newport, RI. He knows where the cougar habitats are.

This year we tried our hardest. Multiple snow accumulations even down low in May followed by all-time record heat like a week after the final accumulating event. Thats how I wish it would go every year. Although we know better. And if we are getting borderline spring snow events up here though, it probably means the weather really sucked elsewhere.

Interesting that chunk that just went through MVS has ripped off 0.44" in about the last 70 minutes. That area looks to be tracking through CT if it continues.

There's a swath of half inch rains like BGM, MSV and looks like it's heading down the Pike region. The vegetation will appreciate it.

Last night you said nothing about under a quarter inch and a "soaking" was multiple inches over a couple days. Hopefully you get some rain, ha.

In winter everyone would be drooling looking at that radar advance west to east...there’d be calls for schools and businesses to close early. Most folks looking for a fast 3-5” but an enthusiastic poster would likely say 4-8”.

Only once a season, starting in August and continuing through the fall. They let it grow as high as it wants or can, then knock it down late summer. Takes a while to cover the ski resort acreage, as its a real slow process dragging the mowing attachment behind a snowcat. The ground cover grows quickly this time of year, and seems to max out as high grasses, ferns, and wild flowers. That stuff goes dormant pretty fast after the first couple frosts/freezes at elevations in the early fall.

Short growing season under that thing. I love how you can see where the growing season has been able to get going with the grass, and where the recent melt has been (the wet spot). It's only at 2,000ft but man-made snow in the shade can last a long time. It's funny how you can see where one snow gun was left on for like 2 days too many in January... just churning out 30 gallons a minute of water into snow under it.

What a day... high of 81F with dews dipping into the 40s at max afternoon mixing. Dog got what may be her last roll in the snow this afternoon. We might try again on July 1st if it's still there. Time to "shut 'em down."

That's sweet. I love the natural town beaches over concrete pool jungles. Is that the Deerfield River or part of the CT River?

That is a sick shot.

I guess it’s all based on expectations. Which I already get the idea won’t be met in your case lol. I could see a nice drenching half an inch for you.

What? You can get a nice soaking from like 0.30-0.50”. I’m sure your lawn would agree.

I feel like this is setting up to piss DIT off with like a “pedestrian soaking” if there’s such a thing... it’ll be just enough of a soaking to get comments on drought relief without being impressive. I get the vibe some want it to miss north or bring 2-3”.... 0.47”, no thanks lol.

81/48 Perfect day.

I bet it evolves towards eastern NY, Berkshires, Litchfield Hills, W. CT area.... or maybe even further west?

I think if the GFS was right with the ULL there would be some decent rainfall totals in narrow zones. Is it right? Probably not, ha. It's not a winter synoptic widespread precip, it rarely is in the summer, but I bet there'd be some narrow axis of heavy rain next week if this sat and spun for 3 days like it has. Hell it probably would end up more over NY State or something, but someone would get a nice drink. Dew points in the 60s it looks like, decent PWATs, if something got going I bet it would be slow moving and a few counties get drenched.