powderfreak

Pretty sure we picked up 1" of fluff in about 30 minutes while out on the evening dog walk in Stowe Village on the groomed Rec Path. This is what people remember when the spend the night in a ski town and 40-50% chance of snow turns into a nice period of moderate snow. Weakening on radar but also slowing over the area. Hopefully we can deform for a bit.

It's been ripping snow in this band. Pretty sure we picked up 1" of fluff in about 30 minutes while out on the evening dog walk in Stowe Village on the groomed Rec Path. Eyeballing about 1.5" total since the band rolled in. Snowy evenings FTW and total weenie just enjoying a walk in winter. Weakening on radar but also slowing over the area. Hopefully we can deform for a bit.

Awesome, looks just like a wall of snow moved up through central VT. Really snowing out here now. Seems very high ratio stuff.

For sure, won't amount to much, maybe a 1-2 inch dusting. But damn if I don't love anything more than a snowy evening. Literally one of my favorite things is watching the flakes fall in the flood light out the big windows in the living room. Snowy night with the dense snow cover... finally looking like winter. Snow growth is phenomenal, zero water falling from the sky, ha.

This looks pretty interesting all the sudden. Those are some solid returns coming up from the south for this great snow growth. I bet J.Spin is now seeing 1"/hr rates at least as it just moved over the Interstate/Winooski Valley corridor.

Had a great time yesterday with some snowfall finally. Saturday semi-holiday weekend for the New Year but no matter what anyone tells you about crowded mountains, there are always places to hide. Had Big Spruce all to myself yesterday. This was 1pm on Saturday at Stowe. Nice surprise to take truly empty laps with only a handful of over people skiing/riding the zone.

This looks pretty interesting all the sudden. Those are some solid returns coming up from the south for this great snow growth. I bet J.Spin is now seeing 1"/hr rates at least as it just moved over the Interstate/Winooski Valley corridor.

Good snow growth, a quick dusting.

Great views on the hill today. Solid undercast.

Hide the wives and children. Daddy’s smashing windows today.

It likes to amp up at times, a definitely flaw at this point.

Above the clouds this morning (not my photo though).

It's bottom bucket stuff for snow depth. That Grinch cutter just decimated any chance of a snowpack and it hasn't come close to average snowfall (which can be 2-3" per day up high).

Mount Mansfield snow depth at the COOP stake went from 10" to 16" in the daily records. That fits with most snowfall observations, with a hearty half a foot of snow. Probably won't settle much. Still a very low tide snowpack on the whole.

Noticed that. I also think the consistency is pretty much identical at the mountain. The drive from the ski area to town didn't seem to change at all right after the snowfall. I think it was pretty uniform.. 5-7" swath. Similar water equiv over a large area? The models had a large area of uniform QPF, more so than usual IMO.

Melted 0.61" here in the valley on 5.5" snow. Pretty consistent with models showing 0.5-0.75" QPF.

Yeah my bad, I just think the EURO has these exotic westward QPF progs and amped solutions at times. Hard to tell when it's right vs. wrong. The mid-level banding is definitely fair game to extend further away from a deepening SFC low track.

I definitely think mid-level banding could always be NW... ripping good DGZ flakes to the NW of models for sure. I’m just never sold on the CCB being west of modeled location with the Euro if that makes sense. Mid-level banding, absolutely possible. That’s usually poorly modeled.

I'm seeing what I have saved, but yeah the EURO likes to over-amp. This worked out well at like 72 hours lead time in December. It was grossly over-amped until about 36-48 hours in the earlier December event. I'm still looking for my saved model runs but I could've sworn that other December event looked better here on the EURO than reality. I've shoveled plenty of EURO snow on the NW side, just saying. Not trying to piss you off, lol.

I guess I’d have to look at the time frame. Maybe it’s more mid-range lead time. But I’ve gotten a lot of Euro snow in some of these events this year. It definitely isn’t the model that tends to be SE of actual, but the lead time probably matters. Im not saying it’s right or wrong, but the Euro gradually took that event away from here. Maybe it’s location specific.

You guys really haven’t been paying attention to the Euro have you? I’m not saying it’s right or wrong, but these posts make me think no one had seen it’s bias before of being NW of other guidance.

It’s not all bad news, ski country up here could use another quarter inch of QPF in a 2-4” refresher. Been an ugly holiday period before today. The snowmobile trails could use it.

I’d trust the EPS, but man the Euro OP has been way more amped in multiple coastal low events this season. It loves to tuck them in. I’m still shoveling ECMWF snow like the GGEM when it comes to coastal systems, phantom snow on the NW side while it tucks it in. Hopefully it pulls a rabbit from its hat this time.

A friend grooming out the fat bike/XC/Rec trail this evening... finally looks like something closer to winter around Stowe.

Totally nitpicking here, but given the general uniform snow totals with this event from mountain peaks to lower elevations, two spots stand out. The ski areas giving a large range don’t really make sense to me when the others are showing tight 0-1” ranges from top to bottom. MRG said 4-8”, which sounds more like a forecast than a snow total and Smuggs said 6-9”. I’m definitely OCD () but those feel like “mailing it in” reports. How much snow is out there? “Ehh it’s somewhere between 4 and 8 inches.” Or the old “we have 6 at the bottom so add a couple/few for the top.”