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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. powderfreak
    00z NAM continues to drop some good frozen QPF on the east side of the Greens with strong SE low level flow. We’ll see.
  2. powderfreak
    25/20 Wind just started registering SE at 3-5mph, good direction for at advecting surface moisture in here.
  3. powderfreak
    It’s almost like people don’t know how to resize, ha. I love screen grabs, but most modern non-flip phones make it easy to do.
  4. powderfreak
    Ha! Lol I thought it was for him. I was like Randolph shouldn’t worry about a warmer solution. If it’s metro west, then yeah always worry about rain more than whiff.
  5. powderfreak
    Absolutely not. Too far OTS is always the biggest risk in coastal storms for the interior.
  6. powderfreak
    Lol we are a little too high in the clouds. It’s true though even 5 years ago it used to bother me missing an event but since about 2015-16, just wait for the next shortwave.
  7. powderfreak
    Lol... so worried about a possible flaw, it cracks me up every time. Models show 5” instead of 7” and I picture you going “uh oh did I buy the wrong place? Someone tell me its just noise. Can’t have an imperfect wind flow.”
  8. powderfreak
    Looks like a pretty decent front end burst this evening of snow/sleet in SVT and SNH. Some decent QPF numbers spreading snow/ice through CNE. in
  9. powderfreak
    Euro stays the course. Gets the mix line up to about here before it gets shunted south again.
  10. powderfreak
    12z Herpes gone wild too, over an inch of water here just like HRRR. I think they are on the juice literally. I think these are too far south to be honest with the mid-level warmth, but we’ll see.
  11. powderfreak
    Yeah I’ve been stuck at 3-7” for northern half of VT for several days. Dense on 0.50-0.75” water. We’ll see some sleet or ZR before the better lift moves back in. Looked like soundings had two distinct times of lift... first with warm front then again on the back end when the vort swings through.
  12. powderfreak
    That 12z HRRR went nuts. Looks very excessive. Not sure how it gets 1”+ QPF.
  13. powderfreak
    12z NAM shockingly a bit warmer aloft, lol.
  14. powderfreak
    These shouldn’t be bad. You can clearly see the modeled p-types. Those snow maps only count the snow portion of it. Like that snow map didn’t count the heavy sleet in Mass.
  15. powderfreak
    Better than the tropical tidbits ones that include sleet as 10:1 snow. They do differentiate snow vs sleet but it’s at 10:1 ratio which is actually pretty high for this event. I mean half the issue is do you agree with the model’s p-type output, but the snow maps are just pure 10:1 ratio of the snow p-type.
  16. powderfreak
    The 3km NAM made a noticeable shift south.
  17. powderfreak
    That’s where I’m at... I think it’s a widespread 3-7” for NNE but someone could deform their way to 8-9” though it may be like Northern NY and southern Quebec. I also think snow growth will be real shitty, we could also go to sleet if the mid level warm tongue punches further north as these system have been known to do. I think it could be like 7:1 ratios for a lot of us in the means. Sort of like 3-5” of dense white material on 0.50-0.75” water.
  18. powderfreak
    Nice two storm totals.
  19. powderfreak
    Ha gonna be at annual snowfall average quick at that rate with the other storms too.
  20. powderfreak
    Definitely better here than 12z.
  21. powderfreak
    Nope it’s pretty sad. At least it’s been white but it’s towards the bottom of the whisker and box plot distribution. My only solace is how many days the grass has been covered has been at least ok. Just enough weird 3-5” microscale snows after the thaws to keep it going lol.
  22. powderfreak
    Yeah I’m sure you didn’t think the Randolph 1750ft observer would have 1.5” depth going into New Years Eve, ha.
  23. powderfreak
    Yeah that’s what I’m thinking more and more. Low snow ratios too even in mostly snow solutions. Maybe 3” of dense material on 0.50” water.
  24. powderfreak
    Of for sure, I’ll take 3” and run.
  25. powderfreak
    The jump on 3km from 6z to 12z is lol. It was practically sunny north of Montreal at 6z.
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