powderfreak
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Everything posted by powderfreak
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Haven’t had time to look, can you share some of the banding progs you see? They usually end up a bit NW.
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HRRR extended version looks good tomorrow for some precip on the Spine.
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It is dumping up here now. Bread and Butter on the lake effect WSW flow.
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Ended up with 4.5" between the two rounds yesterday. Good mini-event.
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Still snowing steadily and radar regenerating to the SW. Probably 3”+ this evening so far.
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2.5” in this squall? Still snowing steadily but about to taper off. Just over 4" on the day in two distinct waves.
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Those count though.
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Pouring snow. ~1.5" on the elevated small table I measure on about 15-20 minutes ago. Just got inside with the dog, covered in snow. Likely around 2" in this burst so far, maybe hit 4" on the day total between two rounds?
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I think it looks pretty snowy going forward, everywhere. Equal chances but fast flow and parade of short waves. Could be a dude, but with a widespread snowpack in New England, even light snow events gather some enthusiasm.
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Someone is going to get into mid-level goodies... the ol’ surprised how hard it’s snowing despite modeled QPF. I’m a veteran there. Somewhere on the NW side is a fluffy surprise... maybe even widespread. Kev and the Pike region is how I often feel. You get a certain couple models jacked big but can’t truly trust it. Just hope. Could be 3-4” or 8-12” straddling that modeled impact line.
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@bwt3650 and Jay is going to get crushed. They are going to time this with the beginning of a long fetch WSW flow band off Lake Ontario. I feel pretty good about that area near/on the International border getting crushed next 24 hours.
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I think you'll do quite well. I'm hoping I can keep up .
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Red Sled and Major Jones that feed into Tres Amigos... a personal favorite. There are some secret spots tucked in there that photograph well, ha.
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It just started snowing pretty good with a quick fresh dusting. Good flakes mixed with graupel/rimed, showing some convective properties. Had 2.0" for the measurement at 1,500ft and 1.7" down at 750ft from today's warm air advection band. Drooling over this radar for some heavy bursts. Should be a fun couple hours as this axis moves through.
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Yeah that’s the one. What was different, just curious? I do remember like an obscene band just pummeling areas in CT and ENE for a short duration wallop. It was that system, last few days in January and the third biggie. I thought that was a quick hitting southern stream? Or was it a Miller B? I pictured that when seeing the 18z 3km NAM, lol. When 1-hr QPF is like 0.25-50” and it’s snowing 4”/hr.
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What was that system in later January 2011? I seem to remember an over-performer in about that same axis... quick hitting but still left like 8-15” in a very short period of time. Jackpot like ECT to SE MA?
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Models show a good burst this evening in NVT. Seeing moisture build to the west, someone should grab another 2-3”. Models have sort of a training SW flow.
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Good burst. Eyeballing at least 2" at the ski area base as it tapers off. KMVL 051654Z AUTO 00000KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG BKN012 OVC028 M02/M03
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Looks like a nice region wide burst of WAA snows moving through. Snowing at least moderate 1/2 mile vis here and seems like a lot of stations are seeing pretty solid vis reductions with this warm frontal snow.
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Great sunrise this morning ahead of the system. Funny thing is listening to the grooming team chat on the radio about how awesome the sunrise is a full 20 minutes or more before I see anything in the base area. The sun rises a lot earlier at 3,600ft.
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Getting a little snow daily is good for the soul.
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I'm always up for a fair trade. Everyone should share the goods.
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Today's 18z GFS has dropped the Kuchie snowfall up here a good 10-inches compared to yesterday's 18z run... and gave it to SE Mass. Otherwise, most areas in between are unchanged. Seems like a very fair trade from the NW corner to the SE corner.
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. It's the ARW not the NMB members though. Those suckers are always suppressed. Have to weed out the NMB ones to get to the real good solutions on the SREFs. Hopefully SNE takes it to the woodshed. I go back and forth over if it is better for suppression depression up here, or a forum with the mood of a funeral parlor.
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And then after taking laps in the pea soup fog this morning, it rapidly cleared around midday and left us with the first view of the upper mountain in at least 4 days. Turned into a postcard afternoon... brochure style views.
