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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. powderfreak
    Ahhh I thought he might be a NWS met who took offense to your ALB/OKX comment.
  2. powderfreak
    Hope people in that strong snow band with 2" of water weight have shoveled their roofs and filled the sand bags. That area around Ludlow, VT south to Mitch precipitates very efficiently on SSE low level flow... also the SE Adirondack zone that got crushed too. They get some solid orographic help in these cutters from GFL and westward.
  3. powderfreak
    Who is John Bagioni? lol.
  4. powderfreak
    Can also see the unblocked flow as the best echos at 6,000ft are east of the Mansfield here into Stowe. Finally got a decent burst of snow to whiten the roads... been mild today flirting 32-34F for a while in the valley. Only about a half inch today or so, wouldn't surprise me if it was a tenth of an inch of water though. Lots of dippin' dots.
  5. powderfreak
    Very unblocked flow... definitely a good set-up for you Phin as the precipitation can propagate well downstream. Narrow streamers too that looks like you've gotten into one. Not the usual "wall of snow" packed into the NW side of the mountains but more narrow convergence zones... odd that the area NW of MWN proper is in a gap. Sometimes the unorganized events can be better for the spots outside the classic NW flow zone. Looks like they propagate quite a bit downwind of the mountains too.
  6. powderfreak
    What do you have for snowfall so far?
  7. powderfreak
    Yeah very possible. Since about noon it's been more convective looking structures, lots of rime. Driving RT 100 around noon there was just a full on graupel storm going on at that that high point on the Waterbury Stowe line near the Lawn Rangers landscaping spot. Enough to quickly cover the road in dippin dots.
  8. powderfreak
    Been snowing most of the day in town but it’s been a lot of graupel and bullets/rimed flakes. Certainly not dendrites, so don’t really have much accumulation to show for it. Very low ratio crystal structure.
  9. powderfreak
    I generally agree with you on this one... if those dew points are legit there’s no stable cold low level layer. I’d have to imagine it’s pretty decent mixing if surface dews are 55-60F in late December over snowpack.
  10. powderfreak
    About 27 less inches this run .
  11. powderfreak
    Tonight is a Jay flow, IMO. Model signature leads me to believe they may perform substantially better than Mansfield. I gotta get up to Jay once we get some snow. No mega-pass affiliation and closed Canadian border. We’ve been saying it all along, special times for Jay skiers.
  12. powderfreak
    Nobody buys day tickets anymore anyway, it’s all pass holders who go anyway regardless of condition lol. Epic Pass and IKON Pass have essentially replaced day tickets. Leads to busier crowds on crap days because they figure they’ve already paid for it.
  13. powderfreak
    I mean can’t get any better than that. Like a 2-day upslope storm after a synoptic paste job.
  14. powderfreak
    The snow is just so “tired” up here without getting that big storm. Just gets groomed and skied into oblivion each day... snow eventually breaks down to dust or ice granular with repetitive crushing.
  15. powderfreak
    Ha! We had our White Thanksgiving, but that one last event may have screwed us for Xmas. Only 0.40” water frozen on the ground right now up here. Speaking of IJD, time to install? Nothing like waking up to dews of 55+ on Xmas Morning (7am).
  16. powderfreak
    Our totals are pretty bad but we’ve had a decent number of days of snow cover. Had a 10-inch warning criteria upslope storm and plenty of days of snowfall. Really was just this last event where it really stands out. When we snow, no one else does...and when everyone else snows, we don’t lol. The snow cover for this time of year though is the real story though.
  17. powderfreak
    That’s awesome, what a pack.
  18. powderfreak
    About an inch of new snow from last evening.
  19. powderfreak
    It's a fun climate when you get a lot of mood snows. Can't under-estimate the vibe of steady light snowfall, snow covered roads, and whitened trees.
  20. powderfreak
    Wow, what a view.
  21. powderfreak
    Eyeballing 0.75-1.0" this evening at home. Up at the hill it was also snowing pretty decently on the way home. Such a contrast in energy from the hustle & bustle of the midday weekend environment, to this peaceful & quiet scene this evening.
  22. powderfreak
    Nice find. I feel like October 2011 crushed that minimum zone from western SNE into central NNE up at least to Dendrite. That was another storm with a band of 18-24"+. That map does show the mean storm vector though, ha. New England is swaths of SSW to NNE direction bands of big totals. This storm sort of bucked that trend with a strong block and oriented almost due west to east at one point in CNE.
  23. powderfreak
    That 12z GFS run was slightly better, a rain to snow situation up here in the NW.
  24. powderfreak
    Oh fully agree. This is all in jest BTW. Been one of those years. Wonder if we achieve what 2015 did, first 0” Mansfield stake reading on Xmas Day in 70 years? I don’t think we do but it’ll be close, probably 3-6” range.
  25. powderfreak
    Oh I know, it was more of a sarcastic comment. I remember one storm I think it was DIT, pounding like 1-2”/hr and posted mid-storm he couldn’t enjoy it because there was a rainer on the models 72 hours later. Its definitely true in an almost funny way when you break it down... our happiness is controlled by a massive computer sitting in a basement pumping out weather progs. Humans, what can you do?
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