powderfreak

The 3km NAM made a noticeable shift south.

That’s where I’m at... I think it’s a widespread 3-7” for NNE but someone could deform their way to 8-9” though it may be like Northern NY and southern Quebec. I also think snow growth will be real shitty, we could also go to sleet if the mid level warm tongue punches further north as these system have been known to do. I think it could be like 7:1 ratios for a lot of us in the means. Sort of like 3-5” of dense white material on 0.50-0.75” water.

Nice two storm totals.

Ha gonna be at annual snowfall average quick at that rate with the other storms too.

Definitely better here than 12z.

Nope it’s pretty sad. At least it’s been white but it’s towards the bottom of the whisker and box plot distribution. My only solace is how many days the grass has been covered has been at least ok. Just enough weird 3-5” microscale snows after the thaws to keep it going lol.

Yeah I’m sure you didn’t think the Randolph 1750ft observer would have 1.5” depth going into New Years Eve, ha.

Yeah that’s what I’m thinking more and more. Low snow ratios too even in mostly snow solutions. Maybe 3” of dense material on 0.50” water.

Of for sure, I’ll take 3” and run.

The jump on 3km from 6z to 12z is lol. It was practically sunny north of Montreal at 6z.

Yeah that was a step back.

Probably means suppression depression here. The kiss of death is “probably looks good for most” when it comes from a SNE’er .

Was surprisingly warm this morning, freezing levels rose to 2,000ft overnight. Was 34F with a coating of wet snow at 1500ft when I arrived at 5am.

Nice 6z Euro run.

Great EPS mean snow run for ski country.

I'm only busting Phin's balls... if you love weather, the total cost is very low relatively speaking to everything else in life. I don't subscribe to any service in the summer.

I do weatherbell. But have had weathermodels, which was good. Just got used to the layout of wxbell. Some also like stormvista.

A weather model subscription to get the EURO for a winter probably costs less than 3 inches of one single log in your many thousand square foot home, lol. I'd be signing up right now. I drop subscriptions on things like candy. If I want to watch a show and I can do it with $8 for a month, done deal without thinking.

No subscription?!

Yeah we are currently in the deep southwest flow sink hole downwind of the Adirondacks. The Greens get the air lifting around here but not until you are into the NEK does it really start falling. We see this from time to time when the mid-level SW flow is pretty unblocked.... the standing wave downslope consumes Sugarbush/Bolton/Stowe/Smuggs stretch. Of course there are other times when the SW flow and the right inversion height blocks the flow and crushes us. But the models have been pretty steady on a largely unblocked flow depositing precipitation well downwind into the NEK.

What great afternoon light today from the top of Spruce Peak.

18z NAM continues a solid Advisory event.

Radar looks like a good burst moving through your area. Just virga over here.

That’s be a nice snowy day... 4-7”

That would do a lot for the vibe of the forum, lol.