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powderfreak

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Everything posted by powderfreak

  1. How do you know how he measured it? I always here about how the official measurements at the airports down there are a bit low. Plus 4” of difference in a nor’easter isn’t that much when you are in that 18-24” zone.
  2. An interesting take... I have generally had a much better outlook on this winter at home vs. on the mountain overall. The overall tenor of the season has been lacking at high elevation. Under 1,500-2,000ft has seemed to do better relative to average. Snow on the ground (grass covered) consistency has seemed high this season regardless. Depth hasn't been there except recently... but consistency of snow is worth something. Despite a decent snowpack gain after settling, the local Mansfield stake has been running a decent snow depth day deficit. Say that three times fast, ha. Even after a good cycle/week, the snowpack is still decently below average on the long term site.
  3. Yeah seems odd to have Hartford County as an Advisory... can’t really find a model that has it tipping the scale there more so than other spots. Not that it matters, just seems like an interesting choice. I’m sure Ryan enjoys explaining why HFD and not Tolland County is highlighted, ha.
  4. This should be enough to get a NWS met banned, ha ha. A little surprised the advisories didn’t extend eastward in SNE to be honest. “Issued the Winter Weather Advisory where am most confident in totals falling in the 2-4 inch territory. Luckily for this event it still does not appear that the snow growth region coincides with the best omega.”
  5. Ha who cares. “He knows mine is big too but never says it. Why doesn’t he say it? I need it said.”
  6. This is a good headline... Pair airlifted off Mt. Lafayette after one loses sneakers, runs barefoot in deep snow By Paul Feely New Hampshire Union Leader Jan 24, 2021 Updated 19 hrs ago https://www.unionleader.com/news/safety/pair-airlifted-off-mt-lafayette-after-one-loses-sneakers-runs-barefoot-in-deep-snow/article_1a793a64-5d9f-5505-82a5-538257b9bbbc.html
  7. Yup for sure. It’s the blocked SE flow at 925mb under mid-level banding where Washington County is. Shocker, JSpin does real well with this look but we usually do pretty good in Stowe too.
  8. 12z NAM has many hours of snow... going to be some weird banding but several models have liked MPV to J.Spin and maybe up to here. It almost has a standing wave look instead of banding, so maybe there’s some weird terrain stuff going on. That pattern looks like mid-level banding with a blocked SE low level flow.
  9. Car said -6F leaving my house this morning. Finally felt really cold...that nostril freezing cold as soon as you step outside. Looks like MVL hit -8F for the min. Crazy that’s only like 10F below normal and it feels like the face of the moon. Too used to walking outside to like 18-24F every morning.
  10. I think the fact that he switched teams, and then took THEM to the super bowl, cements his legacy without a doubt. At his age too. Doesn’t matter who he plays for, they are going to the Super Bowl.
  11. There’s some sort of force field there.
  12. Just because they do, doesn’t mean you have to look at them .
  13. Ha, I saw this panel and was thinkin' about your trials and tribulations.
  14. Ha yes! Perfect. I just picture walking outside with the dog at 5am and find that dude sitting in my yard. Your kids going "Daddy, there's someone out there."
  15. We start to get excited and then channel the inner J.Spin science mind to try to figure out if it's valid to get excited, ha.
  16. We’ve got a lot of water in the middle. The existing base was dense, then locally here I got about 2” of slop on 1” water, then some wetter/dense upslope... then some real dry snow the last couple days. I had 14.5” this morning... top is fluffy, then there’s a very stout thick layer from the high QPF event sitting in the middle (acting like a floor), and then semi-faceted snow under that.
  17. Awesome shot by a friend in Hyde Park just north of Morrisville. Strong north winds along the Spine causing kelvin helmholtz clouds. Wonder if that is from the shear caused by the gap there in the Spine?
  18. I sense a J.Spin meme in here somewhere.... like a snow king sitting on top of picnic table covered in two feet of snow. Must be some Game of Thrones character that could fit the bill, ha.
  19. Only lower mountain lifts at this time, lots of wind holds. Gusting 50mph in the parking lot and 70-80mph at the top. It is brutal out this morning.
  20. Yeah totally get it. This must feel insane, ha. Just wait till that CoCoRAHS site gets 48" in 5 days or something behind you. This was a solid period for the mountains but it can get out of hand pretty quickly at other times. Or like the period we just went through but then throw on another synoptic 10-18"... but alas it looks pretty boring going forward.
  21. It took 32 days for ORH to record a below normal daily temperature departure during this stretch. That is obscene.
  22. I know I've been enjoying it and posting happily, but it also hasn't been "epic". I'm with J.Spin on that one. It's just been a good period of winter, which this year feels a bit better. I mean we are talking about mountains and places that can do 36" of upslope in 36 hours... or the 80" in a week type cycles. 36" in 7 days at my High Road plot is fun but it's not anything overly noteworthy except for when it doesn't snow in years like this. I mean, that had 106" in 3 weeks back in 2017... like that's an epic or noteworthy period, ha. But this season has tended to want to spread the love to the lower elevations more too. The elevation gradient hasn't been as severe as it can be. We got a fun week of snow in an overall slow season... I think of 2015-16 and a poor winter when SNE ripped off a couple good storms. I remember one with 15" of paste in CT among others while NNE starved. Also, orographic snows will always be sharp with a gradient depending on the set-up, Froude number, amount of blocked flow. This one was a bit more unblocked and favored slightly further east in the upslope zone and spread the love out more. Other times it will be a big blocked flow period and the west side of the upslope zone will get destroyed while the eastern ends will see wind-blown flurries for days and days. The OTG difference was the initial storm, IMO. If that tracks west (like mreaves alluded to), and that initial 6-16" disappears as rain, then this whole thing is just a serviceable upslope period with a few inches per day.
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