powderfreak

Yeah I guess I sort of lumped those two things together. The high plays off the block, right?

Props to you if this is more NW... I mean, still a good 36 hours to go. If that high was over-played. I was banking on the high even becoming stronger as we get closer in.

NAM Kuchie... looks like the most likely option.

Damn dude. Sending some vibes your way. I kept thinking about how good this should be for Moosup and wondering where you were. Call it the Ginxy Storm.

I mean if you want to look at negatives, I still think SFC dry air wall seeping in from Maine like a cold air tuck will limit ratios somewhere near there. The arms of those snowflakes will be shrinking on arrival into the lower few thousand feet, IMO. It’ll be a battle somewhere between that high to the N/NE and the incoming mid-levels.

It makes sense...Phin will gradually leave that leave that feeling behind with more time up north. But man it is neurotic in some of those threads, lol.

I dunno, I think the cut-off is going to be pretty sharp wherever it happens. Location of the gradient can easily change, but with that stout high to the north and a lot of cold/dry surface air lodged in the lowest few thousand feet, I think synoptically it makes sense that it cuts off pretty quickly on the north side. I've got plenty of experience, lol. You get those half evaporated small dry flakes that see their arms shrunk in the lowest few thousand feet while it's ripping good flakes up at 4,000ft+. That's a pretty stout surface high. Mid-level lift will be constantly fighting on the northern side with dry air trying to bleed in from the north. Best guess is there's a strong band somewhere near the northern gradient and then north of that band totals just plummet. Where that is TBD.

That's amazing! Ha, went right up to the hat and marked it. "It's mine now!"

You likely have colder/drier SFC air trying to feed in underneath from that stout high pressure. It works really well in SWFE but that cold/dry drain from Maine down the coastal plain could cause some drier air underneath I guess too.

I'll gladly take anyone's 8-12" if they are disappointed. Its still 60 hours out on the models before a flake flies in New England too. That's a long time still.

I wouldn't look at the actual amounts to the decimal, ha. It's just a general look to the model... the quick and dirty.

lol the 9.3" vs. 8.0" I guess. Seems like it's just showing widespread 8-12".

ICON totals.

It’s interesting you liked that look a lot more than yesterday’s 12z EURO that was losing wiggle room, ha.

ALB gets crushed on that run. Deform delight. Mid-levels would be like ALB-Dendrite-Dryslot.

It's unfortunate for sure . Could've been a monster from central PA up through NY and NNE.

There are several NAM looking members in there. It’s a very long shot but not completely dead north of the Mass border.

It was AOL on dial up all the way. You’ve got mail.

Light snow almost like a frozen mist has at least whitened surfaces again at 1500ft.

You going with the high pressure being well over done and block weaker?

I knew it was coming at some point. While some other models only have advisory snows north of the Pike lol.

I get what you're doing, but this absolute monster high to the N/NE as the "whole set up" screams the opposite of what you say, ha.

How the hell is TAN losing it's wiggle room on that run? lol. You're like smack in the middle of the EURO snow prog.

Modeled jacks over ALB still make me tingle even 15 years after living there, ha. Weird. But man from here to you Dryslot that thing runs into a brick wall.

Awesome! I've always wanted to tele. One of the things I hope to do at some point.